Trump’s marketing campaign, between the polls and the courts | EUROtoday

The dynamics of the Republican primaries have been set between the poll field and the courtroom. Yesterday, lower than 24 hours after Donald Trump achieved, due to the help of evangelicals, a historic victory within the Iowa primaries, the oral listening to of the president’s trial for alleged insults promoted by the author started in New York E. Jean Carroll, which calls for compensation of ten million {dollars} (9.1 million {dollars}).

It is a trial that’s partly resulting from a authorized technicality, since Trump has already been convicted of defaming Carroll, so the one factor at stake is the quantity with which the previous president should compensate the author. Trump was already convicted in October of sexual abuse and insults in opposition to Carroll, dedicated in a division retailer in 1995 or 1996, since not even she herself is ready to bear in mind the yr.

The new civil trial in opposition to Trump comes simply 5 days after, additionally in New York, the oral listening to of one other civil process for alleged fraud of the previous president which might culminate in a fantastic of 370 million {dollars} and the prohibition of Trump and, presumably, additionally a number of of his youngsters, from having companies in that State. As within the defamation case, the one doubt on this trial is the punishment that the decide will impose on Trump, since guilt has already been dominated by the Justice of the Peace.

Trump’s authorized disasters haven’t prevented the previous president from reaching an unparalleled political victory since 112 years in the past the 2 events within the United States started the first system to elect their candidates for the presidency.

It was on Monday, in Iowa. Trump achieved 51% of the vote there within the caucuses, the voter assemblies by which the candidates in that state are voted on. Despite his authorized issues, which embrace, as defined above, a conviction for rape, one other for fraud, and a 3rd for libel, Trump enjoys the total help of Republican voters. And, particularly, evangelical Protestants, a really conservative group in social issues, typically of a medium and low cultural stage, and who often maintain the important thing to the facility of the Republican Party.

“We have to unite, “It would not matter if we’re Republicans or Democrats or left-wing or conservative,” Trump said after his resounding victory. He did not seem to be the same politician who in November and December called his political enemies “vermin,” a term used by Adolf Hitler. The triumphant Trump of Iowa was reminiscent of the early morning of November 9, 2016, when he appeared in New York before his followers after his unexpected electoral victory in the presidential elections. His followers began chanting “Lock her up, lock her up!” referring to Hillary Clinton; Trump stopped them and said: “Don’t criticize Hillary. She’s labored very laborious.”

Trump’s joy in Des Moines, the capital of Iowa, was very justified. His victory in the state is not like winning the election, but it puts him within millimeters of the Republican nomination. The former president has achieved everything he wanted. He has won the first place fight by KO; He has shown that he has a key community of the Republican Party – the evangelicals – in his pocket; and has left the opposition divided in two, between the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantisand the former governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the UN with Trump himself, Nikki Haley. DeSantis won 21.2% of the vote; Haley, 19.1%.

The votes of DeSantis and Haley, added together, leave them almost ten points behind the former president, so anti-Trump Republicans who still dream of a miracle that stops his nomination must prepare themselves psychologically for a rude awakening in the coming weeks. The outlook is particularly tough for DeSantis, whose electoral base was, precisely, the evangelical vote that Trump has won.

Haley can last a little longer with a coalition of more educated Republicans. These are centrists and even Democrats, who in some States – such as Iowa – can vote in Republican elections. But Its real possibilities in the medium term are zero, even that he managed to beat Trump in New Hampshire, which holds its primaries on Monday.

The Republican Party is, therefore, the party of Donald Trump. That means a total political radicalization. Two-thirds of Republicans who voted in Iowa believe that Donald Trump will win the 2020 elections. A similar percentage of those who have supported the former president affirm that a conviction of Trump in one of the four criminal proceedings against him , and that can put you in jail, not influence your vote. About half of the people who turned out to vote in the caucuses share Trump’s opinion that “immigrants corrupt the blood of the nation.” With that citizens, any proposal aside from Trump’s has no future.