Pollster John Curtice predicts ‘hassle’ for Labour inside months of getting keys to No10 | Politics | News | EUROtoday

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A famend political scientist predicts that Labour will probably be “in trouble” inside a yr and a half of forming the subsequent Government in the event that they win the overall election.

Sir Keir Starmer is extensively predicted to be coming into No10 following the subsequent basic election because the Conservative get together continues to languish in polls. But Professor Sir John Curtice mentioned inside 18 months they are going to be struggling as they haven’t “won the hearts and minds of the country.”

The polling professional, 70, admitted that Labour’s present 20-point lead is robust – however mentioned they’ll inherit most of the points presently making life troublesome for the Conservative get together.

He mentioned that whereas Sir Keir has managed to persuade those who he could be a viable possibility for Prime Minister, the general public lack “enthusiasm” for him.

He added to the Daily Telegraph: “Keir Starmer hasn’t won the hearts and minds of the country. He has convinced people [Labour] are reasonably moderate and that they can conceive of him as prime minister – that he won’t upset the applecart. But there’s no enthusiasm and that’s potentially a problem.”

Prof Sir John mentioned that the “Tories are in trouble now, but you can also see how after 18 months of a Labour government, assuming the Tories don’t engage in fratricidal warfare, the Labour Party could find itself in a pretty difficult position as well.”

Sir Keir might discover himself solely staying in energy for one time period if the Conservative get together manages to “avoid imploding” within the meantime, the professional mentioned.

It follows a double by-election victory for Labour – however one which hints that many citizens shedding religion within the Conservative Party haven’t discovered it in Sir Keir, however as an alternative are turning elsewhere.

Reform UK secured an unexpectedly excessive variety of votes, reaching 13 p.c in Wellingborough and 10.4 p.c in Kingswood.

Analysts have highlighted that for each voter who supported the Conservative Party in 2019 however have now switched to Labour, one other has switched to Richard Tice’s rising get together.

Mr Tice mentioned the end in Kingswood reveals it’s now a “significant force in British politics”.

The Conservative Party has now misplaced extra by-elections throughout a single parliament than anybody earlier because the Sixties.

Sir Keir Starmer mentioned the outcomes of the by-elections present the general public “want change”.

“These are fantastic results in Kingswood and Wellingborough that show people want change and are ready to put their faith in a changed Labour Party to deliver it,” he mentioned.

Former cupboard minister Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg mentioned the Conservatives wanted to give attention to interesting to voters who had turned to Reform, including there was “a lot of common ground” between the 2 events.

He mentioned “by-elections don’t change” that and assist for Mr Sunak stays “solid”.

Sir John mentioned the difficulty of Brexit was splitting the power of the 2019 Conservative election.

“Virtually everybody who votes for Reform is a Brexiteer, so there’s a risk of making the fracturing of that crucial Leave coalition even worse,” he mentioned.

Express.co.uk has contacted the Labour Party for remark.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1868055/Pollster-john-curtice-Labour-government