Von der Leyen attracts help for a second time period with out closing the door to average Eurosceptics: “Putin's friends are the red line” | EUROtoday

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The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, aspires to a second time period. She formally introduced it on Monday in Berlin and she or he emphasised it this Wednesday in Brussels, on the headquarters of the European Parliament. It just isn’t but time for packages, for concepts, for proposals, however it’s time for motion. The numbers are sophisticated, and though Von der Leyen involves have the broad help of the European Council, of the 27 heads of State and Government, may also want the vote in favor of the plenary session of the Eurochamber, which in 2019 gave him the bottom approval score in historical past, by simply 9 votes. For this cause, the German has already activated itself seeking allies with an previous motto as a flag: maintain your mates shut, however your enemies even nearer.

In the following legislature, a brand new rise of far-right forces, skeptics, Europhobes and radicals, is anticipated. In the final 5 years, Von der Leyen has counted on the ratification of his group and his proposals with the 'sure' of the Popular Party, Socialists, Liberals and even the Greens. But he has usually been opposed by the ECR group, the conservatives and reformists, chaired by the Italian Giorgia Meloni and which incorporates forces such because the Polish Pis, Vox, the French Reconqute, the Flemish N-VA, amongst others. And much more to the ID group, which encompasses the Lega of Matteo Salvinithe German AfD, the Flemish or Danish excessive proper.

The subsequent 5 years look much more sophisticated. Unlike what occurred in 2014 (Juncker towards Barnier) or 2019 (Weber towards Stubb), the European People's Party has reported that there is no such thing as a further candidacy to be the seen face of the group forward of the European elections and the following senior positions, and they’ll formally endorse Von der Leyen subsequent month at their congress in Bucharest. He is a mere process, no less than externally, however not a lot internally.

Von der Leyen y Manfred Weber, the president of the social gathering and chief of the parliamentary group, are shut enemies. Their relationship is unhealthy, their rivalry fixed, their agendas incompatible. Weber, a Bavarian from the CSU, aspired in 2019 to be president of the Commission, however the leaders ignored him and supplied the place to an unknown Defense Minister. But they each want one another now and there may be a part of the political household, for instance the French facet, that didn’t help her 5 years in the past nor will achieve this now, as a result of they see her as a puppet of Macron.

In addition to the non-public affinity between leaders, there may be an underlying ideological situation. Von der Leyen is a conservative, with a big household, and impeccable credentials, no less than traditionally. But she has 'dominated' in Brussels by having her hand on her left, in the direction of the inexperienced world, in a manner that bothers her coreligionists. She has been much like her predecessors, sustaining the middle of her, aspiring to massive coalitions. Much extra pragmatism than program, and this system that has been superior would have been signed completely by the Social Democrats, virtually level by level. It was important to outlive, however particularly to get issues accomplished extra simply and maintain intact the repute of being a European, defender of rights.

For this cause, the favored imagine that it must be harder, extra orthodox, economically, socially and environmentally, making an allowance for farmers, businessmen, producers, relatively than younger folks, NGOs. You ought to cease occupied with your reputation and focus on your exhausting core. They are going to offer them their help, as a result of they can’t do the rest, however with some casualties within the ranks and marking two clear traces. The first, to melt his progressive agenda if you wish to transfer the legislature ahead. The inexperienced transition appears good to them, however calmly, even with “regulatory pauses”, as a result of the stress may be very excessive of their constituencies. And Von der Leyen doesn’t reply to the voters, however those that nominated her and may achieve this once more do.

The second, related guideline is that you’ll have to assume that conservatives are divided and a rising half is asking for pacts with these additional to their proper, not their left. That is why all of the questions within the president's look this Wednesday had been in regards to the ECR group. If you might be open to understanding with them, what you possibly can supply, the place you’ll plant your self. She hasn't closed the door on anybody specifically.. And with the boundaries that he has set, he contemplates particular understandings, however with reservations. “Do they defend democracy? Do they defend our values? Are they very firm in the rule of law? Do they support Ukraine? These answers have to be very clear and the cut-off line too. If they are against the rule of law, impossible. Friends of Putin? Impossible”.

In Brussels everyone seems to be conscious that the electoral half has already taken maintain. The proposal machine has stopped and all of the dossiers that have an effect on immigration, the countryside, pesticides, tobacco, alcohol, local weather or agriculture, the problems that proper now appear to mobilize the potential vote of the intense proper essentially the most, have been paralyzed, softened or hidden.

Von der Leyen has endorsed the EPP's approaches, that are malleable. They say that they may by no means go hand in hand with anybody who just isn’t pro-European, pro-Rule of Law and pro-Ukraine. But with an affordable margin of interpretation, as has all the time been accomplished. The common ones misplaced Orban's social gathering, Fidesz, which has not but discovered lodging. But they are going to be delighted so as to add, after the Europeans, the Flemish N-VA and even, doubtlessly, Meloni's Brothers of Italy. “We don't know who will be in ECR after the elections. “In every election the completely different political teams change.”Von der Leyen said, leaving everything in the hands of who stays and who goes. But above all, who he needs. Until now the numbers only came out with the lifelong scheme, great coalition, a little expanded. But maybe in a few months there will be other options. Before impossible, before unthinkable. Now a temptation.