nationwide points nonetheless take priority for one in two voters | EUROtoday

HAS the top of the Nineteen Seventies and the start of the Nineteen Eighties, the mannequin of interpretations of European elections primarily obeyed that of “intermediate elections” or “second-order elections”, in line with which European elections are dominated by nationwide political points, weak electoral mobilization, much less funding by authorities events within the electoral marketing campaign and logic of “sanction vote” in opposition to the chief.

Today, have European points develop into extra seen, thus making voting extra emancipated from strictly French motivations? The rise in energy of the European Union (EU) throughout main crises and threats in recent times (Covid-19 pandemic, battle in Ukraine, vitality and local weather) has made its motion and its challenges extra seen. If the nationwide and European political scenes are more and more intertwined, the nationwide prism of the European elections could be very removed from having disappeared: 52% of voters say that they “will vote above all to demonstrate their support or opposition to the President of the Republic or his government”.

Everything occurs as if France's voters had been divided in two on this situation. On the one hand, those that are nonetheless within the slight majority (53%) and say they decide their voting alternative by “taking into account above all the proposals of the parties on national questions”. On the opposite aspect, these (47%) for whom European points prevail. We noticed primarily the identical percentages in February 2019 (58% versus 42%) earlier than the dynamics of the marketing campaign reversed issues on voting day (43% versus 57%).

Wealthy and aged France involved in Europe

Will it’s the identical in 2024? This is Emmanuel Macron's gamble which pushes the cursor of mobilization on European points going through Russia, within the context of the battle in Ukraine. For this wager to work, and never come again as a boomerang on the Head of State, this dramatization must trigger a catalytic impact on electoral mobilization, a part of which might come on the bulk record with out benefiting the Rally. nationwide (RN). The knowledge from our survey reveals that this wager is way from gained upfront. Indeed, each electoral mobilization and the Europeanization of considerations stay deeply rooted in hierarchies of socio-economic standing, social stratifications and political affiliations.

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