Rachida Dati favourite, Anne Hidalgo left behind, in accordance with a survey | EUROtoday

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HAS a bit over two years of municipal elections, an Ipsos survey printed in La Tribune Sunday offers the primary indications of what the municipal elections in Paris in 2026 might appear like. Between the sturdy place of Rachida Dati and a late Anne Hidalgo regardless of a strong left, the race is, maybe, already launched.

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His appointment as Minister of Culture would subsequently be an excellent factor for Rachida Dati. His switch from the Republicans to the presidential majority as effectively. Because all of the situations studied by the investigation place the previous candidate for Paris mayor effectively within the lead. “The Renaissance electorate supports it and that of LR has not abandoned it,” explains Mathieu Gallard, director of research at Ipsos.

A primary spherical received prematurely by Rachida Dati?

In the very best state of affairs for Rachida Dati, she would lead a listing bringing collectively the presidential camp and its allies (Horizons and the MoDem), in addition to the Republicans. In this state of affairs, she would get hold of 38%. The result’s nearly the identical if it have been to compete with an LR checklist led by the senator and former mayor of 16e district, Francis Szpiner: with greater than 30% of the votes, she could be forward of her runner-up, the environmentalist checklist, by some 16 factors.

READ ALSO Should Rachida Dati be dismissed?Another speculation studied: that through which Rachida Dati also needs to face a Horizons checklist led by Pierre-Yves Bournazel. But right here too, the Minister of Culture would have a snug lead. By acquiring 30% of the votes, it might be a minimum of 12 factors forward of the environmentalist checklist.

Results that affirm its reputation ranking. “With 40% good opinions, it has a high base,” explains Mathieu Gallard at La Tribune Sunday. She is seen as a reliable candidate, who can generate some enthusiasm. »

Emmanuel Grégoire in entrance of Anne Hidalgo

If Rachida Dati appears, on this ballot, untouchable, the place would her former rival, Anne Hidalgo discover herself? First of all, nothing signifies that the present mayor might be a candidate in 2026. The PS checklist is also led by Emmanuel Grégoire, her first deputy. According to the figures given, the latter would do higher than the town councilor, regardless of the state of affairs on the correct.

In voting intentions, Anne Hidalgo would get hold of between 12 and 14% of the votes (she totaled 29.3% in 2020), whereas her deputy would get hold of yet another level if the Horizons, LR and Renaissance lists have been offered. The hole confirmed at two factors in case of widespread checklist on the correct.

Jadot, chief on the left

Discussions also needs to be carried out on the left. Because the Ipsos survey locations the environmentalist checklist on the prime in all three situations. With 17 or 18% of voting intentions, he could be effectively forward of the PS and the Insoumis. A powerful development in comparison with the final elections, the place David Belliard obtained 10.79% of the votes.

If the forces on the left appear to have reversed, the citizens is basically the identical as in 2020. Because the LFI, Ecologists, PS/PC lists would convey collectively round 43% of the votes. “It is the unpopularity of Anne Hidalgo which, in fact, troubles the left-wing electorate,” explains Mathieu Gallard.