Is 2024 even hotter than 2023? | EUROtoday

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VS'is a bloodbath. World temperature data proceed to chunk the mud. Haven't we simply discovered that March 2024 is the tenth month in a row breaking temperature data? It averaged a temperature 1.68°C increased than a pre-industrial March. The oceans should not omitted. The floor temperature has set a brand new warmth file, in accordance with the European Copernicus Observatory.

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Before these figures had been recognized, the director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Gavin Schmidt, was already on the verge of discomfort. In the journal Naturethe scientist was alarmed by a rise within the earth's temperature of 0.2°C between 2022 and 2023.

An enormous leap on a planetary scale. The 12 months 2023 was the most popular in 100 thousand years. And the climatologist emphasizes that presently nothing can clarify this temperature anomaly. “We need explanations quickly,” he concludes.

Persistence of the El Niño occasion

We then turned to paleoclimatologist Valérie Masson-Delmotte, who supervised the scientific work of the IPCC till 2023. She begins by setting the file straight: “Many models simulate a significantly higher level of warming for 2023 to the one who was observed. »

In fact, it is rather the heat of the last autumn that worries the scientist: “The month of September 2023 broke the record for the hottest month of September by around 0.5°C, and climate models seem to be having difficulty to simulate such significant year-to-year variability in the current climate. » She also recalls that a few years ago warming was increasing less quickly than the models predicted.

READ ALSO Global warming, sea temperature: worrying figures for March 2024What will it be for 2024? “In any case it will be a rather warm year, as hot, or perhaps even hotter than 2023, due to the persistence of the El Niño event. But 2024 will be interesting to analyze and could give us useful indications to better understand the 2023 record,” provides Valérie Masson-Delmotte.

Better perceive ! That's good, however what's the purpose if the overwhelming majority of states solely present the minimal service when it comes to greenhouse fuel restrictions? The sanctions are beginning to fall. Thus, Switzerland is the primary nation to be condemned by the European Court of Human Rights, on April 9, for inaction within the face of local weather change.–09-04-2024-2557262_25.php