“The campaign for the European elections resembles a sleepwalk in the face of mounting dangers” | EUROtoday

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TThree years earlier than the presidential deadline of 2027, the European election marketing campaign permits us to measure the political upheavals which have occurred since 2017, the place to begin of a recomposition introduced, then sculpted by Emmanuel Macron. The Renaissance/National Rally (RN) duopoly, or somewhat the confrontation between Macron and Le Pen, nonetheless dominates the scene, regardless of makes an attempt by the suitable and the left to thwart it beneath the primary in addition to the second five-year time period.

The recreation of cat and mouse between the President of the Republic and the lady he beat twice within the presidential election round an alleged end-of-campaign debate alone sums up this narrowing of the political recreation: two political forces who’ve referred to as themselves “progressive” and the opposite “patriot”, and who declare to eclipse all of the others.

The two protagonists arrange the duel, the media helped to strengthen it, the opposite political actors had been incapable of disrupting it, failing to have regained ample momentum after the debacle suffered by the left and the suitable in 2017. Certainly, there’s a “Glucksmann effect” (head of the Socialist Party-Public Square listing) on this marketing campaign, however inside a left-wing bloc which stays typically weak and marked by a transparent decline amongst environmentalists in comparison with 2019.

Also learn the portrait | Article reserved for our subscribers European elections: Raphaël Glucksmann, the socialist wager

The Les Républicains (LR) listing seems, for its half, nonetheless in unhealthy form, caught between Renaissance and the RN, which has managed to ascertain its hegemony over the complete far proper. This is evidenced by Marion Maréchal's difficulties in making her personal voice heard on the head of the Reconquête! listing.

The RN, an opportunist get together

The duopoly, which in 2019 performed on virtually equal phrases (one level separated the RN listing from that of the presidential majority), is at present clearly dominated by the RN, which is main the race within the voting intention polls. and seems to be the winner of the political recomposition initiated for seven years. Neither the dangerousness of the worldwide scenario, marked by the return of imperialism, nor the Putinian tropism of the French excessive proper have slowed the rise of this get together which was constructed towards the European Union (EU). From renunciation to renunciation (no extra query of leaving the euro, leaving the built-in command of NATO or placing oneself on the sidelines of the European electrical energy market…).

Marine Le Pen has put sufficient water in her wine to harness all of the moods of public opinion to her benefit with out including to the ambient concern. By claiming to vary the EU from the within somewhat than preventing it from the surface, she has made the RN an opportunist get together, able to go to any lengths to return to energy. The European context serves it: in every single place or nearly in every single place within the EU, the far proper is on the offensive, enjoying on identification tensions and worry of immigration. In the Ipsos survey for France Télévisions, revealed Thursday May 23, this topic comes on the high of the priorities recognized for the years to return, 10 factors forward of the battle towards international warming (32%), 20 factors forward of the development of a standard European protection.

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