the 5 classes and highlights of the marketing campaign | EUROtoday

End of marketing campaign in sight in France. The European elections are being held on Sunday June 9 in France, after a marketing campaign lasting a number of months which noticed the principle leaders debate army help to Ukraine, immigration, the scenario in Gaza and even agriculture. .

Just a few days earlier than the election, the polls present the record of Jordan Bardella (National Rally) nicely forward in voting intentions (between 30 and 33%), forward of the record of Valérie Hayer (Renaissance-MoDem-Horizons) which totals between 14 and 16% and the record of Raphaël Glucksmann (Socialist Party-Place publique) which collects between 13 and 14.5%. Followed by the lists of Manon Aubry of La France insoumise (between 7 and 9%), François-Xavier Bellamy of the Les Républicains occasion (between 6.5 and seven.5%), Marie Toussaint of Europe Écologie-Les Verts ( between 5 and seven%) and Marion Maréchal de Reconquête! (between 5 and 6.5%).

While the stakes are excessive, France 24 provides you a fast reminder of the principle classes and highlights of the marketing campaign which is ending.

• Towards a development of the acute proper within the European Parliament, however balances a priori little modified

For months, polls have been saying a surge in populist or far-right events virtually all over the place in Europe for the European elections. In France, Italy, Germany, Belgium, Hungary, Poland or the Netherlands, the scores of those events must be excessive. But to not the purpose of tearing aside the “grand coalition” of the three major present teams (proper, socialists, liberals) inside which compromises are cast and which makes it potential to undertake a big majority of votes in Parliament. Especially since these far-right forces are advancing in dispersed order within the European Parliament, the place they’re divided into two teams: the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) and Identity and Democracy (ID).

In France, for instance, Jordan Bardella and his elected representatives from the National Rally will sit inside the ID group, whereas Marion Maréchal and her colleagues from Reconquête! deliberate to sit down with the ECR group.

Read additionallyJordan Bardella and the RN within the European Parliament: absenteeism, contradictions and lobbie pursuits

According to surveys, the European People's Party (EPP) ought to stay the main political power in Strasbourg, adopted by the Social Democrats (S&D), regardless of anticipated losses for these two households. The problem is to know who will arrive in third place, at the moment occupied by Renew Europe, which incorporates Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance occasion, dwindling and threatened by the deliberate surge of ECR ​​and ID.

In a notice printed in April by the Jacques Delors Institute, Nathalie Brack and Awenig Marié consider that the present coalition “should continue to dominate the decision-making process after the elections”, however that “the consolidation of the nationalist and conservative right (.. .) could increase the frequency of right-wing coalitions formed by the PPE and ECR groups.

• Despite the omnipresence of the executive couple, Valérie Hayer's campaign is taking on water

Until then unknown to the general public, Valérie Hayer was propelled to the top of the Renaissance list at the end of February. A bet which has not paid off according to the polls, which credit her with constantly declining voting intentions – the presidential list falling from 19% to 14% in the polls between the beginning of March and the beginning of June.

Read alsoBardella, Glucksmann, Hayer: who are the main French leaders in the European elections?

Valérie Hayer nevertheless benefited from the omnipresence of Emmanuel Macron and Gabriel Attal in her campaign. Between the President of the Republic's long speech on Europe at the Sorbonne on April 25, his interview at 8 p.m. on TF1 and France 2, Thursday June 6, on the occasion of the 80^e anniversary of the Normandy landings and the incessant media appearances of the Prime Minister, who went so far as to debate one-on-one with Jordan Bardella on May 23 or to invite himself to a Radio France studio on Monday June 3, to support their candidate, the message of the executive couple was hammered home.

“I have to do everything,” Emmanuel Macron even said in private, according to Le Parisien. Suffice to say that the probable failure of the Renaissance list will be above all his and that of his government's record.

• The Glucksmann surprise, the Greens in great danger

Five years ago, Raphaël Glucksmann flirted with the 5% threshold necessary to send elected officials to the European Parliament. In 2024, he is hot on the heels of Valérie Hayer in the polls and here he is presented by many media as the new strong man of the left. Making aid to Ukraine his main campaign axis, the leader of the small Place Publique party, an ally of the Socialist Party, gathered all the Socialists behind him and captured a significant portion of center-center Macronist voters. left disappointed by the President of the Republic.

However, be careful not to draw too hasty conclusions in the event of a good result for Raphaël Glucksmann's list: in 2019, the ecologists thought they would be able to take the leadership of the left after Yannick Jadot's 13.48% in the European. Three years later, the latter only totaled 4.63% of the votes in the 2022 presidential election.

Read alsoRaphaël Glucksmann, or the hope of a good result in the Europeans… but for what purpose?

The Greens, in fact, are in great danger this time. Marine Tondelier's party was the first of the four parties of the New Ecological and Social Popular Union (Nupes) to make it known, at the end of 2022, that it would go alone to the European elections. This election generally succeeded rather well for environmentalists: 16.28% of the votes in 2009, 8.95% in 2014 and 13.48% in 2019. Its leaders therefore thought they would take advantage of this election to assert their brand and highlight their differences with the rest of the left. The bet is about to be lost, if the polls are to be believed. The list led by Marie Toussaint is given between 5 and 7%, behind those of the Socialist Party and La France insoumise, but above all just above the famous threshold of 5%. There is great concern among the Greens to wake up Monday morning without any MEPs.

• Ukraine, Gaza, immigration, agriculture: these subjects which dominated the campaign

The European election campaign often misses the real issues, and the vote generally tends to be made about national issues, both by the parties and by the media. The context of the war in Ukraine and the anger of European farmers at the beginning of the year has changed the situation somewhat. There was a lot of talk about the common agricultural policy (CAP) in January and February. The Agricultural Show at the end of February, where all the top candidates flocked, was the media kick-off for the campaign.

The war in Ukraine, the aid provided by the European Union and the question of European defense also occupied much of the debates, with Raphaël Glucksmann and Valérie Hayer, in particular, making it the major theme of their respective campaigns. Conversely, Manon Aubry, from La France insoumise (LFI), accompanied by Palestinian cause activist Rima Hassan (7^e on his list), chose to make the situation in Gaza the strong point of his campaign. The operation worked so well that voters had the impression that LFI only talked about that, while Manon Aubry campaigned on many other subjects, including budgetary austerity and purchasing power. and energy.

Read alsoMaking Gaza the major issue of the Europeans, a double or nothing strategy for La France insoumise

Finally, a sign of the rise of the extreme right in many European countries and the resumption of their ideas by the right and the center, immigration animated the debates from the beginning to the end of the campaign – some wishing to build a Europe fortress, the others wanting to welcome migrants with dignity.

Read additionallyIn Europe, an more and more safe migration coverage

However, it’s not possible to flee a nationalization of the problems. Jordan Bardella and the National Rally reworked the vote right into a referendum for or in opposition to Emmanuel Macron. The latter as soon as once more decreased the vote to a face-to-face between him and the far proper, presenting the European elections as a referendum for or in opposition to Europe. For his half, Jean-Luc Mélenchon instantly launched his occasion's marketing campaign by affirming that the primary spherical of the 2027 presidential election was being performed out within the European elections.

• Environment, buying energy, well being: these topics have been forgotten

In this context, sure topics which are nonetheless important and instantly linked to the prerogatives of the European Parliament have been forgotten within the media debate. Unlike the 2019 marketing campaign, there was little or no speak concerning the atmosphere, world warming or biodiversity in 2024. The points of buying powers, well being and transport have additionally been missed.

However, when the French had been requested to rank the problems that the European Union ought to handle as a precedence, 37% of them responded the struggle in opposition to local weather change, 34% responded migration points, 27 % well being and 26% the struggle in opposition to poverty, in keeping with a survey commissioned by the Power of Living Pact collective. However, three of those 4 issues had been little or not addressed through the marketing campaign.