Von der Leyen seeks an encore, second closest mandate | EUROtoday

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BRUSSELS – The probabilities of a reconfirmation on the helm of the European Commission for Ursula von der Leyen are rising, even when the unknowns of a parliamentary majority to be enlarged stay, in a context during which the composition and dimension of the teams are evolving.

The numbers

What offers the incumbent president a transparent place of benefit are to begin with the numbers which, in keeping with the most recent replace on the vote to resume the European Parliament, see her occasion, the EPP, as an more and more clear winner, with 189 seats out of 720 in comparison with 176 within the earlier legislature. And new deputies might be added. Strengthening her candidacy is the post-electoral weak spot of Emmanuel Macron, the one chief who, within the European Council, might have provided her an alternate, however who now seems inevitably targeted on inside affairs, after the choice to name elections anticipated on June thirtieth.

It needs to be remembered that the appointment of the President of the Commission is a two-stage course of: first he’s indicated by the European Council, then he’s voted on by the European Parliament.

Possible alliances

On Tuesday, von del Leyen spoke on the closed-door assembly of the MEPs of the European People's Party, reiterating the ideas expressed instantly after the closing of the polls: the incumbent president would have mentioned that, with a purpose to be reconfirmed, she expects the assist of Socialists and Renew Liberals, the place to begin of each dialogue, however you will need to construct as massive a majority as doable.

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A want to not shut the doorways additionally dictated by the expertise of the earlier legislature: if in truth the EPP has strengthened, the “Ursula majority” (with Socialists and Liberals) is much less stable and at present has 403 deputies: 42 over the edge 361 (50% plus one), whereas in 2019 he had a margin of 64 votes. And even then he managed to acquire confidence by simply 9 votes, with the assist of deputies outdoors the bulk.