Can Macronism disappear after the legislative elections? | EUROtoday

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Emmanuel Macron, June 14, 2024 at the G7 in Italy.

Une week after Emmanuel Macron's announcement of the dissolution of the National Assembly, the explanations for this resolution are removed from clear. The President of the Republic clearly has each legitimacy to name early legislative elections, beneath Article 12 of the Constitution. Again this robust gesture – “We cannot be more solemn and stronger”, he boasted throughout his press convention on Wednesday June 12 – this ought to be understood by the French, known as to the polls on June 30 and July 7.

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Three causes had been put ahead by the Head of State, then by his entourage, to persuade that that is neither a mindless act nor a private whim. It was first defined that the“parliamentary equation”between relative majority and ” mess “ within the Hemicycle, had grow to be “hardly sustainable”. However, since 2022, neither the relative majority nor the dysfunction have prevented Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne from passing greater than fifty texts in virtually twenty months, which she didn’t maintain again from reminding the Renaissance deputies, following the dissolution. His successor, Gabriel Attal, calmly deliberate to proceed on this path. Nervously attempting for the chief, this case was undoubtedly much less dangerous than that of the subsequent National Assembly: the tripartition may result in a scenario of in any other case acute impasse, with no chance of dissolving for a 12 months.

It was then argued that the vote on a movement of censure within the fall was “inevitable”. The president of the Les Républicains (LR) group Eric Ciotti would have confided this to the previous president of the National Assembly Richard Ferrand, who would have knowledgeable the Elysée… The incontrovertible fact that it’s mandatory to collect the signatures of 58 deputies and that the LR group solely has 61 made this prospect extremely unbelievable, whereas a 3rd of the group was not in favor of tabling a movement. Furthermore, a dissolution determined within the fall following the adoption of a movement of censure would have been completely logical and comprehensible.

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A parsing error

Finally was superior the “vote on Europe” of June 9, which is ” clear “, for Emmanuel Macron. With virtually 40% for the far-right forces, an unprecedented rating, it’s true, “we must provide a democratic response”, he judged, with out us seeing the causal hyperlink between European elections and dissolution. This dissolution “hot”after an electoral defeat, is a primary beneath the Ve Republic. The election of MEPs has by no means shaken up nationwide political life. In 2014, the dismal failure of the listing led by the chief of the Socialist Party (PS) Jean-Christophe Cambadélis (14% of the votes), arriving third, behind these of the National Front (25%) and the Union for a preferred motion (21%), whereas François Hollande had been in energy for 2 years, had no different consequence than the departure of a Secretary of State and the arrival of two others.

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