the perils of poker strikes | EUROtoday

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En look, every part contrasts the political conditions that the United Kingdom and France are experiencing lately, other than the concomitance of decisive nationwide elections: Thursday July 4, throughout the Channel, exactly between the 2 rounds of the legislative elections of June 30 and July 7 triggered by Emmanuel Macron. In London, the polls present the Labor left nicely within the lead (with 37% of the vote), prepared, underneath the management of reasonable Keir Starmer, to settle in Downing Street after fourteen uninterrupted years of Conservative energy together with the twister of Brexit . In Paris, in contrast, the rout within the European elections of Emmanuel Macron – who was in contrast in 2017 to Tony Blair, the previous chief of Labor – and his dissolution within the type of a poker transfer elevate fears of the approaching to energy of 'far proper.

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Even in terms of Europe, the 2 neighboring nations, long-time pals and rivals, flip their backs on one another. Certainly, Labour, eager to not reopen the deep wounds left by the Brexit referendum, is cautious to not take into account a return to the European Union (EU), contenting itself with promising to enhance commerce relations. with the Union. But a majority of Britons at the moment are satisfied that leaving the EU was a mistake for which they proceed to pay the value. At the identical time, French voters defy their pro-European president, inserting within the lead a National Rally whose guarantees result in a de facto break with group ambition.

Nth alternation

However, this image, which appears to distinction a France combining political chaos and institutional turmoil with a United Kingdom calmly making ready for one more alternation within the cozy ambiance of Westminster, seems to be largely deceptive. The venerable British political system, based mostly on single-round elections, leaving few possibilities for candidates from exterior the 2 main events – Tories and Labor – is being shaken up underneath strain from far-right chief Nigel Farage. The victorious promoter of divorce from Europe as chief of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) has re-entered political life in 2021 with a celebration, Reform UK, which accuses the Conservatives of getting “betrayed” Brexit, significantly by way of immigration and deregulation.

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Armed with a program that guarantees “net zero immigration”, massive tax cuts and partial privatization of the general public well being system, he takes benefit of the acute weakening of outgoing Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Tories, to the purpose of threatening the outdated conservative occasion is breaking apart. A ballot even credit Reform UK with the next rating (19%) than that of the Conservatives (18%). After seven failures within the legislative elections, Mr. Farage may steal a constituency from the Tories.

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The comeback of Nigel Farage feels like a horrible lesson: co-responsible for the weakening of his nation following Brexit, this nationalist, xenophobic demagogue and critic of social insurance policies now intends to thrive on the denunciation of this failure. It is as if the 2016 referendum on Brexit, determined by former Prime Minister David Cameron as a bluff within the face of strain from Mr. Farage, continued to behave like a cluster bomb on the political lifetime of the oldest democracy in Europe. A perspective which isn’t sufficient to rejoice the French, unceremoniously launched into one other poker recreation, that of dissolution.

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