sturdy participation introduced for a significant election | EUROtoday

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Preparation of ballots to be delivered to polling stations for the legislative elections of June 30 and July 7, 2024, in Bruges (Gironde), June 24, 2024.

“These are the first real legislative elections since the beginning of the 21ste century “, estimates Professor Pierre Allorant, historian and political scientist at the University of Orléans. The French have understood this: polls suggest that participation, during the vote on June 30 and July 7, could return to the high level of the 1990s, around 60% to 70%. Just like the record number of proxy registrations – more than 1.3 million, Sunday June 23, according to the Ministry of the Interior.

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The French do not go to the polls when they have the impression that it is of no use. Since the five-year reform, implemented in 2002, and the organization of the election of deputies after that of the President of the Republic, they consider that, by having expressed themselves in the presidential election, the die is made. Wrongly, of course. Since 2002, participation in legislative elections has been decreasing. It has even been below 50% since 2017.

“There, it will be different”, thinks Pierre Allorant. This election is paying homage to that of 1997, after the dissolution of the National Assembly by Jacques Chirac. Seven out of ten voters had come. As in 1997, the legislative elections launched by Emmanuel Macron will determine “of who will govern”notes the professor. ” The Frenchdeclares, in The Parisian of June 23, Brice Teinturier, deputy common director of the polling institute Ipsos, have completely understood the stakes of those elections: an alternation is feasible with out ready for 2027.” What “game changer”he believes.

” The situation is serious “

And that’s with out taking into consideration the problem “ history »recalls Pierre Allorant : “The extreme right can come to power. This hasn’t happened since 1940.” The National Rally (RN) urges its voters to vote. On June 18, Jordan Bardella, promised to Matignon within the occasion of victory, launched, on Europe 1: “I say to the French individuals: there’s a historic alternative to reverse the course of historical past, to vary politics in our nation. And for that, I have to have an absolute majority. »

The united left additionally hopes for an absolute majority. Candidate of the New Popular Front (NFP) in 1D constituency of Seine-Saint-Denis, Eric Coquerel did the accounts. In the European elections, he underlined on June 20, the RN recovered nearly all the votes (7,765,936) that he obtained within the first spherical of the 2022 presidential election (8,133,828). The left, quite the opposite, has a bigger reserve of votes » : 8,634,119 votes within the European elections in comparison with 11,028,177 in 2022. ” Simplyconcluded Mr. Coquerel, we should make sure that voters, together with those that have despaired of the left for years, come and perceive that this time the scenario is critical. »

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https://www.lemonde.fr/politique/article/2024/06/25/legislatives-2024-forte-participation-annoncee-pour-un-scrutin-majeur_6243668_823448.html