The dangerous calculations of, the simulator utilized by Gabriel Attal to criticize the left | EUROtoday

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The First Secretary of the Socialist Party and representative of the New Popular Front, Olivier Faure, and the Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal, representative of Ensemble, during a debate on France 2, in Paris, on June 27, 2024.

The sequence was rigorously ready by Gabriel Attal. During the political debate broadcast on France 2 on Thursday, June 27, the Prime Minister attacked the New Popular Front (NFP) on the tax will increase it’s contemplating to finance the social spending of its program. “You propose to increase the CSG [cotisation sociale généralisée] on pensions of 1,200 euros »he criticized, calling on viewers to consult the site, created by Ensemble, the presidential coalition, to assess the consequences of such a measure. “All French people who watch us, whether they are retirees, children, grandchildren of retirees, can connect to the siteaffirmed Mr. Attal. You enter your retirement amount and you see how much your CSG will increase and how much less retirement that will mean for you.”

“I am in favor of the progressive CSG, Olivier Faure, who represented the NFP, replied. It is normal that people who have less pay less and people who have more pay more.” The first secretary of the Socialist Party denounced the “Mr. Attal's rigged simulator” and guaranteed that “for a small retiree, it won’t cost anything at all”. Friday June 28, La France insoumise, one other element of the NFP, denounced, in a press launch, a simulator “lying” and initiated proceedings towards Renaissance for “false and misleading allegations likely to alter the vote”.

Misleading, the area identify may lead one to consider that it’s a marketing campaign web site run by the New Ecological and Social Popular Union, or Nupes, the identify of the left-wing alliance for the 2022 legislative elections, which brings collectively a lot of the events at the moment throughout the NFP.

A web site created by Renaissance on the day of the talk

According to info out there on-line, the positioning was created Thursday June 27, the identical day of the talk between Gabriel Attal, Jordan Bardella and Olivier Faure. When it appeared, it didn’t include authorized notices clearly indicating who was the creator. It was solely on Friday morning, after quite a few criticisms on-line, {that a} new hyperlink appeared to the Renaissance web site. Party officers confirmed to World having created this web site on the day of the talk, however deny any want to sow confusion.

Read the decryption | 2024 legislative elections: what are the packages of the principle events?

When Gabriel Attal talked about this web site, Thursday at 9:03 p.m., no public point out had been manufactured from it. Immediately, a number of activist accounts on X, together with “MacronardsFM” and “La France!”, relayed it. With the target, presumably, of constructing the topic rise within the developments of the platform. In the minutes that adopted, the positioning was shared by many Renaissance figures, such because the deputy of Val-de-Marne Mathieu Lefèvre or the X account of Gabriel Attal throughout the debate on France 2. None specified that the positioning had been created by Renaissance.

According to this simulator, the NFP venture induces vital losses of retirement pensions, specifically for modest pensions. According to the instance shared by Gabriel Attal's account on X throughout the debate, for a month-to-month web pension of 1,300 euros, the loss is estimated at 858 euros per 12 months.

Misleading calculations

However, these calculations pose a number of issues. Examination of the calculator highlights two main biases in its design. First of all, it solely asks retirees for the quantity of their retirement pension. However, the calculation of the CSG on the retirement pension, within the present system as within the one envisaged by the left, additionally is dependent upon the taxable earnings of the whole family, and the variety of tax shares in it.

A retiree receiving a pension of 1,200 euros doesn’t pay the identical quantity of CSG relying on whether or not he lives alone or with a partner who receives a excessive pension. But the web site solely takes into consideration the state of affairs of a single individual.

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Questioned on this topic, an govt from the Ensemble marketing campaign group acknowledges the approximation: “This does not claim to be a simulator of the Ministry of the Economy. » He assumes a simulator “simplistic”to alert on the program “not clear at all” of the NFP, which has not printed a scale detailing its proposal. “As Nupes deputies have tabled amendments of this type in the past, we wish to alert retired French people to the consequences of such a measure on their pensions,” justifies this member of Renaissance.

By in search of to breed the calculations as Ensemble detailed them, The world didn’t arrive on the identical figures, the simulator tending to overestimate losses and to disregard conditions the place the reform would quite the opposite be beneficial to retirees.

Then, this strategy relies on a 2023 proposal, which isn’t instantly included within the NFP program. The modification used was, in fact, tabled by Nupes and defended by the socialist Jérôme Guedj, earlier than being rejected initially of 2023. Ensemble thought-about that it foreshadows what the measure carried at the moment by the left might give. of a extra “progressive” CSG.

In any case, a number of members of the NFP assured Friday that their reform wouldn’t be precisely that proposed by the socialists in 2023. “Our joint programme establishes the principle of a progressive CSG, for greater tax justice, but we have not yet decided on the question of the scale”explains Arthur Delaporte, outgoing socialist deputy and NFP candidate within the 2e constituency of Calvados. If it obtains the bulk on the finish of the legislative elections, the left intends to arbitrate the talk on the dimensions within the Chamber, confirms Hadrien Clouet, outgoing deputy of La France insoumise and candidate of the NFP in Haute-Garonne: “Tax is a serious matter that is being discussed in the National Assembly, with all due respect to Mr. Attal.”

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