Bowman’s Defeat Highlights Challenges For Progressive Movement | EUROtoday

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What a distinction 4 years makes. Around this time in 2020, the activist left was driving excessive. Joe Biden had clinched the Democratic presidential nomination, however he included left-wing calls for into his coverage platform. Democratic Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (N.Y.), Rashida Tlaib (Mich.), Ayanna Pressley (Mass.) and Ilhan Omar (Minn.) — the group of left-wing insurgents that grew to become often called “the Squad” — had been shaking up Congress, and Justice Democrats, the upstart progressive outfit that recruited Ocasio-Cortez, was spoiling for extra reasonable Democrats to take down.

Jamaal Bowman, a Black center faculty principal from a humble background with an genuine love for the Wu-Tang Clan and Nas, appeared like match to oust Rep. Eliot Engel, an growing older white man with staunch pro-Israel views who represented New York’s sixteenth Congressional District, a majority-minority district straddling the New York City border. A progressive ecosystem was already mature sufficient to offer Bowman with skilled fundraising, polling and even a brilliant PAC, pushing him to a groundbreaking victory that yr.

But simply as Bowman’s victory in 2020 was an indication of rising progressive fortunes, so too does his defeat replicate a receding of the progressive wave. With Donald Trump out of workplace, grassroots power and fundraising have grown scarcer. A backlash to the Black Lives Matter motion and different left-wing cultural forces remains to be a significant component in Democratic primaries. And the ideological terrain on which the left is now combating has attracted the ire of the well-financed pro-Israel foyer.

Put collectively, it paints an image of a progressive motion previous its prime, with Bowman’s loss on Tuesday doubtlessly simply the most recent signal of how way more hostile the atmosphere has develop into for aspiring left-wing candidates.

Indeed, various key components working in Bowman’s favor in 2020 had been largely issues of, properly, timing. For one factor, the large donor response to the activist left was solely in its infancy. The essential pro-Bowman tremendous PAC beat the Democratic Majority for Israel, a pro-Israel group, to the TV airwaves and was not closely outspent. But DMFI, a pioneer within the combat in opposition to the modern left, was largely by itself in 2020.

The following yr, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee would erect its personal tremendous PAC, which proved able to elevating and spending tens of hundreds of thousands of {dollars} somewhat than simply hundreds of thousands. In 2024, AIPAC, which endorsed Westchester County Executive George Latimer, Bowman’s challenger, would spend practically $15 million making an attempt to bury Bowman. While Bowman’s candidacy was weighed down by his personal baggage, there is no such thing as a query that AIPAC’s largesse is shaping which candidates run and the way they formulate their positions.

Here are 4 extra takeaways:

When then-Rep. Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.) lost to Bowman in June 2020, his ally, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, had not yet erected a super PAC.
When then-Rep. Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.) misplaced to Bowman in June 2020, his ally, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, had not but erected a brilliant PAC.

Samuel Corum/Getty Images

Changing Priorities

Bowman gained his first race lower than a month after the police homicide of George Floyd, a second when assist for the Black Lives Matter motion was traditionally excessive amongst white liberals. The local weather possible helped Bowman, who ran on combating systemic racism and police misconduct.

“You know what Donald Trump is more afraid of than anything else? A Black man with power,” Bowman declared in his victory speech.

Now, amid Israel’s ferocious battle in Gaza, the American left has made championing Palestinian rights and a cease-fire the central focus of its motion. The emphasis on Palestine, which is typically louder than messaging about local weather motion, anti-racism and financial equality, is a justifiable response to an Israeli army offensive with huge civilian casualties that many human rights teams and consultants consider has violated the legal guidelines of battle, or worse.

Politically, the shift in focus has elicited appreciation from Arab Americans and Muslim Americans who really feel shut out of the political course of. But it has additionally attracted extra anger from rich pro-Israel donors and alienated some in any other case progressive Jewish voters.

“I believe in the need for protection of and representation of minorities in all areas.”

– Diana Lovett, Bowman supporter-turned-Latimer voter

Diana Lovett, a former Bowman supporter and donor who backed Latimer, recalled how the “moment” and Bowman’s “message” about racial justice drew her to him in 2020. “I do think that representation matters,” mentioned Lovett, an inexpensive housing and refugee resettlement advocate who supported Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s (D-Mass.) presidential bid in 2020.

But Lovett, who’s Jewish, faulted Bowman for not honoring Jewish Americans’ sense of vulnerability after Hamas’ terror assault on Israel on Oct. 7. She took subject along with his votes in opposition to a nonbinding decision condemning Hamas and a decision condemning assist for Hamas and different designated terrorist teams on school campuses.

“I believe in the need for protection of and representation of minorities in all areas,” she mentioned.

Bowman Was Unprepared

A important a part of Bowman’s success in 2020 was out-campaigning Engel and, within the course of, catching him off guard.

At the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Bowman was onerous at work, knocking on doorways in his Wu-Tang masks and serving to distribute meals and different reduction provides. Engel, against this, was making an attempt to experience out the pandemic in his house in Potomac, Maryland.

To the skin eye, the occasions that adopted appear like a stroke of luck, however they had been the results of well-executed marketing campaign staffing and consulting. Bowman’s marketing campaign uncovered Engel’s absence by tipping off a distinguished mainstream reporter based mostly in Washington, who drove to Engel’s Maryland house and knocked on the door. That revelation prompted him to return to the district, the place he was so desperate to remind his constituents he was house that he was caught on a scorching mic demanding airtime at a press convention with the now notorious line, “If I didn’t have a primary, I wouldn’t care.”

The nonpartisan, court-ordered redistricting forward of the 2022 cycle could have additionally harm Bowman by swapping out chunks of the Bronx in favor of extra prosperous and fewer numerous cities in Westchester. (Bowman did decide up some liberal river cities however misplaced Riverdale, a northwestern Bronx neighborhood with a big Jewish neighborhood that possible would have mobilized closely in opposition to him this yr.)

“I don’t think it resonated with him in 2022 that 40-plus percent of the district voted against him, and that’s not great.”

– Former Bowman aide

Bowman would find yourself profitable simply 54% of the vote within the August 2022 main, demonstrating the tenuousness of his standing within the district.

But maybe lulled into complacency, he didn’t gear up for a bruising main combat in 2024. He had simply over $180,000 in money readily available going into the ultimate quarter of 2023, suggesting an absence of urgency in his fundraising efforts at precisely the second when his enemies had been assessing his energy and laying the groundwork for Latimer’s candidacy. Thanks to AIPAC and his native community of donors, Latimer raised $1.4 million inside a month of asserting his bid in December.

“If you have a million in the bank, that’s not nothing for when they’re trying to recruit a challenger,” mentioned a former Bowman marketing campaign aide who requested anonymity to talk freely. “I don’t think it resonated with him in 2022 that 40-plus percent of the district voted against him, and that’s not great.”

Bowman meets with voters at a school in Mount Vernon, New York, on June 23, 2020. His presence in the district was key to his win over then-Rep. Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.).
Bowman meets with voters at a faculty in Mount Vernon, New York, on June 23, 2020. His presence within the district was key to his win over then-Rep. Eliot Engel (D-N.Y.).

Spencer Platt/Getty Images

All Politics Is Local

In the 2020 election cycle, Bowman notably blasted Engel, who was then chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, for focusing unduly on international coverage. It got here, Bowman argued, on the expense of taking note of his precise constituents.

“I think our district deserves leadership that truly understands the needs of our communities rather than someone who is taking corporate money and seems so focused on foreign affairs,” Bowman mentioned in a 2019 interview with Jacobin.

Once in workplace, Bowman had develop into a star on social media for his confrontations with Republican members of Congress. Back house, although, Bowman needed to deal with a neighborhood Democratic institution that also considered him as an undesirable interloper.

Amid last-minute redistricting chaos in 2022, various distinguished Democrats privately inspired then-Rep. Mondaire Jones (D-N.Y.), a much less radical Black progressive from a neighboring seat, to problem Bowman within the main. Neither the Westchester County Democratic Committee nor the Bronx Democratic County Committee endorsed Bowman’s reelection that yr. And Jay Jacobs, chair of the New York State Democratic Party, maxed out to one in every of Bowman’s main challengers.

Notwithstanding that degree of official resistance, even a few of his allies assume he has not at all times devoted sufficient time to constructing native relationships. Partly consequently, a valuable few native elected officers stood up for him when he pulled the hearth alarm as he was dashing to exit a House workplace constructing in late September.

“He never built up enough relationships with some groups to get the benefit of the doubt,” mentioned the previous Bowman aide.

Kasheem Maclin, a metropolis marshal in Mount Vernon, New York, felt Bowman was not an everyday presence within the metropolis.

“Before this election, I’ve never seen Bowman,” Maclin instructed HuffPost on Tuesday. “I’ve seen Latimer, I don’t know how many times.”

“In 2020, Bowman beat a 30-year incumbent by setting up a clear contrast — between an incumbent who was too focused on foreign policy and himself, a challenger focused on the needs of the district. In 2024, Latimer was able to litigate a very similar case.”

– Alyssa Cass, former Bowman marketing consultant

Then, within the combat for his political life, Bowman made AIPAC and the Israeli invasion of Gaza, which he calls a “genocide,” a central theme of his stump speeches. He went as far as to go to the pro-Palestine protest encampment at Columbia University in Manhattan, far outdoors his congressional district. And Justice Democrats’ tremendous PAC selected to characteristic the subject in a pro-Bowman tv commercial.

“In 2020, Bowman beat a 30-year incumbent by setting up a clear contrast — between an incumbent who was too focused on foreign policy and himself, a challenger focused on the needs of the district,” mentioned Alyssa Cass, one in every of Bowman’s press and communications consultants in 2020. “In 2024, Latimer was able to litigate a very similar case.”

Bowman “let himself get defined by an issue that wasn’t top of mind for his voters, only critics who were never going to vote for him,” Cass added.

Bowman’s marketing campaign was additionally gradual to outline Latimer with strategically positioned opposition analysis. A narrative about Latimer’s slow-walking of a federal housing desegregation decree went to print weeks earlier than Election Day. And one other merchandise about his automobile registration being revoked resulting from unpaid parking tickets by no means made it out of the area of interest native press.

All of these components gave Latimer — by Bowman’s personal admission, the consummate “retail politician” — a gap to make use of the same line of assault on Bowman as he, 4 years in the past, had used on Engel.

“Jamaal Bowman got out of step with the district. He stopped working the needs of the district,” Latimer mentioned on CNN on Monday. “He stopped caring about every one of the municipalities and the residents there, because there’s a certain amount of national image that he seems to care more about.”

Latimer celebrates with supporters after winning on Tuesday.
Latimer celebrates with supporters after profitable on Tuesday.

Spencer Platt.Getty Images

George Latimer Risks Alienating Some Constituents Too

By the time Election Day rolled round, Latimer was the sturdy favourite to win the race. A public ballot in mid-June had him forward by 17 share factors — precisely the margin by which he ended up profitable.

But in look after look, Latimer sounded bitter, as if he felt victimized by Bowman’s id and skill to attraction to Black and Muslim voters.

In a June 10 debate with Bowman, Latimer tied him to donors within the Muslim neighborhood and left-wing circles within the San Francisco Bay Area. “Your constituency is Dearborn, Michigan. Your constituency is San Francisco, California,” he mentioned.

“They shouldn’t be offended by the Dearborn comment. I’ve explained it three or four times.”

– George Latimer, Westchester County govt

And days earlier than the election, Latimer claimed Bowman had an “ethnic benefit” that will web him Black votes.

Those feedback harm Donny Khan, a Muslim resident of Irvington, New York, who helped Latimer marketing campaign within the Muslim neighborhood throughout his 2017 run for county govt.

“George Latimer came to the Muslim community center, took pictures with women in hijabs, took their votes when he needed them,” mentioned Khan, a co-founder of Westchester Progressives and American Muslims Indivisible. “And then ever since he started running [for Congress], because he knows who’s giving him the money, he’s made the Dearborn comment. He’s made the San Francisco comment. He’s talked about the ethnic advantage. Anybody who watches Fox News knows exactly what all of those things mean.”

But Latimer was defensive on Tuesday night time when he was requested whether or not he would attain out to constituents offended by his feedback.

He emphasised that he meant to check with Bowman’s alliance with Tlaib, Congress’ sole Palestinian American member whose district consists of Dearborn and who contributed $500,000 to a pro-Bowman tremendous PAC.

“They shouldn’t be offended by the Dearborn comment,” Latimer mentioned to reporters. “I’ve explained it three or four times.”

Pressed on whether or not he may nonetheless must do outreach to teams irked by a few of his language, Latimer blamed the media for misinforming individuals about his feedback.

“There are bridges to be built, and those bridges to be built come from mutual respect and don’t come from attack ads,” he mentioned. “They don’t come from misrepresenting someone else’s position.”

“I had a number of positions that I had misrepresented in this campaign. I’m not beyond defending — I have thick skin,” he continued. “But let’s understand that some people drew judgments about me negatively because of the misrepresentation that was made in some cases — I’m not accusing anybody here — repeated by members of the press as fact.”