“The disaster of the Brexit years in the United Kingdom foreshadows, in a toned down mode, what could await the French after July 7” | EUROtoday

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“Victory for freedom!” » Marine Le Pen exults. “Your cries of horror, your threats of apocalypse” did nothing about it: the “Spring of the Peoples” received up. Is it the night of June 30 or July 7, 2024? No, June 23, 2016, after 51.9% of Britons voted sure to divorce from the European Union (EU). Emphatic, the then president of the National Front (future National Rally) “vibrates with the British who seized this extraordinary opportunity to escape from servitude” and predicts a domino impact: quickly, will probably be the flip of the French to “free” themselves from the EU.

Eight years later, main determine of a revamped far-right get together flanked by Jordan Bardella, Mme Le Pen is cautious to not confer with Brexit, which she however thought-about in 2016 as “the most important historical event [en Europe] since the fall of the Berlin Wall”. The financial and political catastrophe which adopted the departure of the EU has reworked Brexit right into a foil: within the United Kingdom, the place Labor Keir Starmer, the introduced huge winner of the legislative elections on July 4, by no means refers to it; and in France, the place the National Rally (RN) has swallowed its promise of Frexit, whereas multiplying guarantees incompatible with remaining within the EU.

So listed below are the previous French champions of Brexit on the gates of energy, a dramatic second in French political historical past whose blatant analogies with the shock of 2016 for the British seem fraught with classes for the French. No greater than the legislative elections of June 30 and July 7, the referendum of June 23, 2016 was inevitable. Both consequence from the hubris of a person cynical sufficient to place the way forward for his nation at stake: David Cameron on the one hand, Emmanuel Macron on the opposite. A bluff within the case of the British Prime Minister, who had launched the concept of ​​a referendum to calm the suitable wing of the Conservative Party, tempted by the Europhobe Nigel Farage, pondering he would by no means have to prepare it, earlier than being trapped by his promise. A big gamble for the French president, sufferer of the boomerang impact of his shock announcement.

False guarantees

But the parallel doesn’t finish there. Hostility to immigration, seen as favored by EU membership, was one of the vital highly effective elements within the British vote, as was the sensation of abandonment linked to the disintegration of public companies and job insecurity. The heap of fallacious guarantees – together with the slogan of Boris Johnson's crimson marketing campaign bus promising to finance the general public well being system with sums “saved” from the EU – summarized within the method “Take back control” (“take back control”), can also be not unrelated to the RN's costly, discriminatory and unfunded program.

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https://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2024/06/30/legislatives-2024-le-desastre-des-annees-brexit-au-royaume-uni-prefigure-en-mode-attenue-ce-qui-pourrait-attendre-les-francais-apres-le-7-juillet_6245482_3232.html