General election: The high Tory MPs set to lose seats after shock opinion ballot | EUROtoday

Get real time updates directly on you device, subscribe now.

Plenty of high Tory ministers are set to lose their seats within the upcoming normal election because the Conservative’s faltering marketing campaign grinds on, in response to a brand new shock ballot revealed on Wednesday.

In devastating information for prime minister Rishi Sunak, YouGov’s ultimate ballot earlier than voting started on Thursday predicted that 14 Tory “big beasts” have been set to lose their seats to Labour, the Liberal Democrats, Reform UK and Plaid Cymru.

The Conservatives would drop to only 108 seats, dropping 257 of the seats they received in 2019, in response to YouGov’s projection on Wednesday. Labour would win an enormous majority of 425 seats, up by 223.

Follow reside updates on the final election right here

Among these set to be ousted are Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, Mel Stride, Alex Chalk, Mark Harper, Grant Shapps and Gillian Keegan.

Separately, Mr Sunak is rumoured to have confided to members of his inside circle that he’s frightened of dropping his Yorkshire constituency on the normal election.

Here, The Independent takes a better have a look at the outstanding Tory candidates deemed by YouGov to be vulnerable to dropping their seats.

Jeremy Hunt

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is set to lose his seat under a new prediction by polling company YouGov
Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is ready to lose his seat below a brand new prediction by polling firm YouGov (PA Wire)

Jeremy Hunt is a long-serving Tory grandee, having served in a number of senior roles throughout authorities, together with international secretary, well being secretary and his present put up as chancellor of the Exchequer.

He might be standing in a brand new constituency this 12 months – Godalming and Ash – after his seat in South West Surrey, which he has held since 2005, is ready to be abolished within the latest boundary modifications.

He has a ten,720 majority however is ready to lose the seat to the Liberal Democrats below the brand new YouGov ballot revealed on Wednesday 19 June.

Grant Shapps

Grant Shapps is the MP for Welwyn Hatfield, and took up his first authorities place as a housing minister below David Cameron’s management.

Since then, Mr Shapps has served in a number of senior roles throughout authorities, together with as transport secretary below Boris Johnson, house secretary below Liz Truss, power secretary below Rishi Sunak and now secretary of state for defence.

He has a ten,773 majority and is ready to lose his seat to Labour within the normal election on 4 July, the brand new ballot discovered.

Grant Shapps is set to lose his Welwyn Hatfield seat to Labour, according to a new YouGov poll
Grant Shapps is ready to lose his Welwyn Hatfield seat to Labour, in response to a brand new YouGov ballot (PA Wire)

Gillian Keegan

Gillian Keegan entered parliament in 2017, and has served as training secretary since 2022, having held a lot of junior ministerial posts earlier than that.

She has a 19,622 majority in her seat of Chichester however is susceptible to the Liberal Democrats, in response to the shock ballot.

Gillian Keegan is vulnerable to the Liberal Democrats, according to the new YouGov poll
Gillian Keegan is susceptible to the Liberal Democrats, in response to the brand new YouGov ballot (Getty Images)

Rishi Sunak

Separately to the YouGov ballot, Rishi Sunak has confided to members of his inside circle that he’s frightened of dropping his Yorkshire constituency on the normal election, in response to studies.

The prime minister, who could be the primary sitting chief of the nation to lose his seat, instructed confidants earlier than a Conservative rally on Tuesday that he thought the vote in Richmond and Northallerton was too near name.

Prime minister Rishi Sunak has reportedly confided to his inner circle he fears losing his North Yorkshire seat on Thursday
Prime minister Rishi Sunak has reportedly confided to his inside circle he fears dropping his North Yorkshire seat on Thursday (PA Wire)

Richard Holden

Richard Holden’s bid for the seat of Basildon and Billericay has been fraught with controversy, with the Tory chair accused of being parachuted in on a so-called “chicken run” after his North West Durham constituency disappeared within the boundary overview.

Despite the native Tory affiliation’s government voting to reject the shortlist of 1 imposed on them by CCHQ in June, The Independent reported that councillors within the constituency have been instructed they’d “lose the whip” if they didn’t settle for Mr Holden – barring them from standing for the celebration once more at any degree.

After what was described as “a gun being held to our heads”, senior members of the affiliation met with Mr Holden to “reluctantly” settle for his candidacy. Days later, Mr Holden’s aide angrily intervened to chop brief an interview wherein the Tory chair was requested concerning the “stitch-up” course of.

The ultimate YouGov ballot predicted a toss-up between Reform and Labour in Basildon and Billericay, which implies he may lose the competition for parliament.

Penny Mordaunt

The chief of the home, Penny Mordaunt, has been a well-liked determine within the Conservative celebration over the previous few years, having stood for the management twice in 2023.

Ms Mordaunt held a number of senior authorities positions below Theresa May’s management, together with defence secretary and worldwide growth secretary.

Ms Mordaunt is now on observe to lose her seat to Labour within the constituency of Portsmouth North, the place she has served because the MP since 2010, in response to the ballot.

Mordaunt is on track to lose her seat to Labour in the constituency of Portsmouth North
Mordaunt is on observe to lose her seat to Labour within the constituency of Portsmouth North

Mark Harper

Mark Harper was elected in 2005 within the constituency of Forest of Dean. He has served as transport secretary since 2022 and beforehand labored as chief whip.

Under the brand new YouGov Poll, Mr Harper is susceptible to Labour. He at present has a 15,869 majority in his Gloucestershire seat.

Transport Secretary Mark Harper is set to lose his Gloucestershire seat to Labour, according to a new poll
Transport Secretary Mark Harper is ready to lose his Gloucestershire seat to Labour, in response to a brand new ballot (PA Wire)

Johnny Mercer

Johnny Mercer has served as MP for Plymouth Moor View since 2010 and has attended cupboard as minister for veteran affairs since 2019.

He is ready to lose his seat to Labour, with Reform predicted to nibble away on the Conservative majority, taking round 11 per cent of the entire vote share.

Johnny Mercer is vulnerable to Labour in his Plymouth seat, according to the new poll
Johnny Mercer is susceptible to Labour in his Plymouth seat, in response to the brand new ballot (Getty)

Alex Chalk

Alex Chalk received the seat of Cheltenham from the Lib Dems again in 2015, and has been seen as a rising star within the celebration over the previous few years.

Mr Chalk has lengthy been in danger on account of his wafer-thin majority of just below 1,000 votes, which he’s now set to lose to the Lib Dems on the subsequent election, in response to the brand new ballot.

Alex Chalk is set to lose his seat of Cheltenham at the general election on 4 July
Alex Chalk is ready to lose his seat of Cheltenham on the normal election on 4 July (Getty Images)

Michelle Donelan

Michelle Donelan has been member of parliament for Chippenham in Wiltshire since 2015, the place she has a 11,288 majority.

She was first appointed secretary of state for science, innovation and expertise on 7 February 2023. Under the brand new ballot, she was predicted to lose her seat to the Liberal Democrats.

Michelle Donelan, Secretary of State for Science, Innovation and Technology, is set to lose her seat to the Liberal Democrats
Michelle Donelan, Secretary of State for Science, Innovation and Technology, is ready to lose her seat to the Liberal Democrats (PA Wire)

Michael Tomlinson

Micheal Tomlinson has been a member of parliament for Mid Dorset and North Poole because the 2015 normal election.

He was appointed minister of state on the Home Office on 7 December 2023, and labored because the unlawful migration minister. He can be set to lose his seat to the Liberal Democrats.

Micheal Tomlinson’s Mid Dorest and North Poole seat is leaning towards the Lib Dems, a YouGov poll found
Micheal Tomlinson’s Mid Dorest and North Poole seat is leaning in direction of the Lib Dems, a YouGov ballot discovered (Getty Images)

David T C Davies

Mr Davies has served as secretary of state for Wales since 2022, having beforehand served in junior ministerial roles and because the chair for the Welsh Affairs Select Committee.

He turned the MP for Monmouth again in 2005, however is ready to face within the new seat of Monmouthshire, as his earlier seat might be abolished below the boundary modifications. However, Mr Davies is ready to lose his seat to Labour.

David TC Davies looks as if he will lose his Monmouth seat to Labour in the 4 July election
David TC Davies seems as if he’ll lose his Monmouth seat to Labour within the 4 July election (PA Archive)

Steve Baker

Steve Baker was appointed minister of state on the Northern Ireland Office on 7 September 2022. He was elected as Conservative MP for Wycombe in 2010.

He was beforehand parliamentary below secretary of state on the Department for Exiting the European Union from June 2017 to 9 July 2018.

Under the brand new ballot, Mr Baker is ready to lose his seat, which he’s campaigning for whereas on vacation on Greece, to Labour.

Steve Baker, who said he would be campaigning for his seat while on holiday on Greece, is set to lose to Labour
Steve Baker, who stated he could be campaigning for his seat whereas on vacation on Greece, is ready to lose to Labour (Getty)

Mel Stride

Mel Stride was appointed secretary of state for work and pensions on 25 October 2022. He was elected the Conservative MP for Central Devon in 2010.

Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride could lose his seat to Labour in the upcoming general election
Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride may lose his seat to Labour within the upcoming normal election (PA Wire)

He was beforehand Lord President of the Council and chief of the House of Commons from 23 May 2019 to 24 July 2019, and Financial secretary to the treasury and paymaster normal from June 2017 to May 2019.

According to YouGov’s shock ballot, he’ll lose his seat to Labour within the 4 July normal election.

The Government’s chief whip Simon Hart could lose his seat to Plaid Cymru, YouGov’s shock poll found
The Government’s chief whip Simon Hart may lose his seat to Plaid Cymru, YouGov’s shock ballot discovered (AFP by way of Getty Images)

Simon Hart

The authorities’s chief whip Simon Hart may lose his seat to Plaid Cymru. YouGov’s earlier ballot predicted he would lose it to Labour.

Mr Hart has served in ministerial roles below each Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak, having assumed workplace in 2010.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tory-election-poll-mp-seat-loss-sunak-hunt-shapps-b2573868.html