“Without a majority in the Assembly, it is unlikely that the left will be able to implement all of its proposals” | EUROtoday

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SIf we add the 13 left-wing candidates elected exterior the New Popular Front to the 182 elected below its banner, the left gained 195 seats in these legislative elections, 27 greater than Ensemble and 52 greater than the National Rally (RN) and its allies Les Républicains (LR). With a web achieve of 44 seats in comparison with 2022, it’s nevertheless doing much less properly than the far proper, which gained 54 extra. It is before everything as a result of it has confounded the predictions and since it got here out on prime – and is subsequently in a position to govern – that the left seems to be the massive winner of the election.

This success is to begin with, as in 2022, the fruit of a method of unity round a standard program and candidates. Let us recall that traditionally such an settlement based mostly on the sharing of constituencies from the primary spherical was then unprecedented. Its renewal, after a fratricidal European marketing campaign, was by no means assured. It might have opened the best way to many dissidences.

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This success can also be the results of the Republican Front technique. Largely pushed and utilized by the left with few exceptions, it was applied later and far much less systematically by the presidential camp and nearly not by LR. The left thus clearly appeared as essentially the most intransigent towards the RN, even when it meant sacrificing its candidates within the face of confirmed political opponents equivalent to Gérald Darmanin, Minister of the Interior, or Laurent Wauquiez, President of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Regional Council.

The rejection of racism and xenophobia, the battle towards the intense proper have, as soon as once more, emerged as highly effective vectors of unity and mobilization. In this, this success additionally owes to the a number of calls and demonstrations that emanated from unions, the associative setting, the left-wing press, which fueled intense participation on social networks but in addition on the bottom. Everywhere, WhatsApp loops bringing collectively seasoned activists and non-registered residents anxious to dam have flourished. The left has thus proven that it has lovely stays, that its activist tradition has not disappeared.

Rooting of the RN in its strongholds

This victory, nevertheless, stays misleading. Not solely is it very removed from the bulk, however it’s based mostly on a politically composite and fragile electoral base, and on a sociological base that’s too unpopular. Its viewers within the suburbs of enormous cities, the place social housing tenants and populations of overseas origin dominate, and among the many under-35s mustn’t masks its lack of anchoring inside the working courses and the decrease center courses.

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https://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2024/07/08/frederic-sawicki-politiste-sans-majorite-a-l-assemblee-il-est-peu-probable-que-la-gauche-soit-en-mesure-d-appliquer-l-ensemble-de-ses-propositions_6247939_3232.html