“Israel must have had a human source near Nasrallah” | EUROtoday
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FBased on his expertise throughout the General Directorate of External Security (DGSE), Alain Chouet seeks to make clear present occasions within the Near and Middle East within the mild of History and religions. His information of the area and the Arab-Muslim worlds permits him to method “the complicated Orient with simple ideas”, to make use of the phrases of Charles de Gaulle.
If current a long time have been punctuated by violence, the Israeli-Palestinian battle bears some accountability, however not all. Complex points, notably oil, strategic and ideological, encompass the antagonisms. On these factors, Alain Chouet says quite a bit. For The Point, he agrees to debate his notion of present occasions, one yr after the carnage of October 7.
The Point: How do you choose the current Israeli operations, notably that of the pagers, and the loss of life of Hassan Nasrallah, the chief of Hezbollah?
Alain Chouet: These are completely profitable operations, arrange a very long time in the past, with nice care, hats off! Setting up an organization – in Hungary – able to duplicating gadgets manufactured in Taiwan, passing them by means of Bulgaria by making the most of a loophole by Nasrallah advising members of Hezbollah to now not use cell phones, all of this requires a variety of effort. time, means, folks.
I knew Hassan Nasrallah slightly. He by no means stayed two hours in the identical place, by no means two nights in the identical mattress. I’m satisfied that if the Israelis knew the place he was in the mean time he was hit, it was as a result of they’d a human supply very near him. Plus, they knew little or no upfront, since he was transferring on a regular basis. They took benefit of a distinct segment, however with out assure. They may have dropped their bombs within the mistaken place.
Israel has killed dozens of Hezbollah leaders, with out annihilating it. Is it totally different with Hassan Nasrallah?
Israel had struck many Hezbollah militants, not leaders of this degree! I do not know if the blow this time will probably be deadly, however it’s devastating. Nasrallah and a dozen of his high commanders had been eliminated. Hezbollah’s infrastructure has since been methodically destroyed in Beirut in addition to between the Israeli-Lebanese border and the Litani River.
Above all, Hezbollah is affected politically. Its aura was superior to that of the Lebanese State, each in navy and social and political issues, primarily based on its motion, its self-discipline, the extension of its operations so far as Syria. It as soon as once more turns into a politico-military group just like the others in Lebanon – the Lebanese Forces, the Druze and others.
ALSO READ Behind the conflict between Israel and Iran, the schism between Sunnis and ShiitesWhat do you consider the scenario prevailing for a yr between Israel and its neighbors managed by Iran?
For forty years, the Iranians have at all times acted by means of their proxies: Hezbollah, Hamas, Houthis, Iraqi Shiite militias. I consider Iran timed the October 7 bloodbath to torpedo the Abraham Accords aimed toward bringing Israel and Sunni Arab nations, notably Saudi Arabia, nearer collectively. Tehran knew that the Israeli response could be devastating for Hamas and Gaza and intentionally sacrificed them with a view to break Western, Israeli and Sunni collusion towards Iran. From this standpoint, it’s profitable. No Arab chief will be capable to get nearer to Israel after what is going on in Gaza.
Israeli intelligence chiefs have repeatedly asserted that their nation should negotiate with its neighbors. What do you suppose?
The heads of Mossad, Shin Bet and Aman [les trois grands services de renseignement du pays, NDLR] have all – for a very long time – been on the identical line, to the purpose of getting lately signed a manifesto to this impact: no nation can maintain out in the long run whereas being surrounded solely by enemies who’ve sworn to its destruction. We must discover a option to negotiate. As Shaul Mofaz, then IDF chief of employees, mentioned, it’s true of Iranian origin, Israel’s pure ally within the area is Iran, not the Sunni nations. With the mullahs, it is unimaginable. But, if the regime modified in Tehran…
You must maintain doorways open for later! Ephraïm Halevy, former head of Mossad, thought it was vital to barter with them earlier than they’d the bomb. They are very shut in the present day. I observe that the Iranian nuclear doctrine is identical as that of the French. They need the bomb so they do not have to make use of it. Their obsession is to not relive the Iran-Iraq conflict (1980-1988). The bomb that poses an issue within the area is that of Pakistan!
https://www.lepoint.fr/monde/alain-chouet-israel-devait-avoir-une-source-humaine-pres-de-nasrallah-11-10-2024-2572514_24.php