Nostradamus pollster Allan Lichtman reveals newest 2024 prediction | EUROtoday

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Historian Allan Lichtman has insisted that he stands by his prediction about who will win the 2024 presidential race regardless of latest polls – and revealed that he has “never experienced” a lot “hate” in an election cycle.

Lichtman is called the “Nostradamus” of polling because of the truth he has appropriately predicted the outcomes of 9 out of 10 presidential elections since 1984.

His technique for forecasting the race so precisely is called “The Keys to the White House,” a system he devised with the Russian educational Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.

And regardless of the polls, which present the race is now tighter than ever between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, Lichtman stands by his prediction that the Democrat will win the White House in November.

“My prediction has not changed,” Lichtman mentioned on his YouTube channel.

“I have frequently made my prediction correctly in defiance of the polls, it’s based on 160 years of precedent.”

Lichtman conceded, nevertheless, that there’s at all times a risk he could possibly be mistaken.

“The keys are very robust,” he mentioned. “But it’s always possible that something so cataclysmic and so unprecedented could change the pattern of history.”

The educational strongly defended his technique, which seems at 13 elements from the president’s celebration’s standing within the House of Representatives to the well being of the home financial system, any report of scandal, social unrest, or overseas coverage disasters throughout their tenure, and the comparative charisma of the 2 candidates to determine the victor, making use of “true” or “false” designations to every class.

“My predictions have stood the test of time, my indicators have always been right,” he mentioned. “The keys are very objective and quantitative.”

Lichtman maintained his technique and predictions are “totally non-partisan,” highlighting how he appropriately predicted the “two most conservative presidents of our time,” referring to Ronald Reagan when he was elected for the second time in 1984 and Trump in 2016.

But this 12 months the historian has obtained an unprecedented quantity of hate in calling the election for Harris, he revealed.

“I have never experienced anything close to the hate that has been reaped upon me this time,” he advised NewsNation’s Chris Cuomo.

“I’ve been getting feedback that is vulgar, violent, threatening, and even beyond that, the safety and security of my family has been compromised.”

The professor mentioned beforehand that eight of the 13 keys at present yield “true” solutions, suggesting a Harris triumph and one other 4 years in energy for the Democrats.

“Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” Lichtman mentioned.

“The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped ‘false’, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.”