the situations earlier than the vote of the deputies on the income half | EUROtoday

On Nov 12, 2024

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CThis is a vote which is able to absolutely permit us to see extra clearly the positions of every of the three giant teams which make up the National Assembly because the final legislative elections this summer time. The a part of the 2025 funds which considerations income have to be submitted to the vote of deputies this Tuesday, November 12.

The vote should happen at 4:30 p.m. following the normal Questions to the Government (QAG). At the tip of a month of debates in committee, which started on November 16, and within the Hemicycle, the preliminary textual content offered by Michel Barnier’s authorities was largely revised. Thus, 12 of the 41 articles have been deleted, whereas others have been typically modified in depth. Result of this primary section: a deficit forecast lowered from 142 to 85 billion euros over the course of the brand new measures adopted.

On the far proper, the National Rally (RN) prides itself on the elimination of France’s contribution to the European Union (EU), which represents a saving of 23 billion euros. On the left, the tax on the “superprofits” of huge teams, the surcharge on electrical energy and even the institution of a “universal tax” on multinationals have returned the income from this 2025 finance invoice (PLF). “NFP-compatible” within the eyes of Éric Coquerel, the president (La France insoumise) of the Finance Committee.

The Minister of Budget and Public Accounts, Laurent Saint-Martin, estimated quite the opposite that the modifications made to the federal government’s challenge risked resulting in a “tax overdose of 35 billion euros which will spare no one”.

Two attainable situations

In this context, it’s anticipated that the New Popular Front (NFP) will vote in favor of adopting the income element, and that the federal government coalition will oppose it. The chief of the MoDem deputies, the previous Minister of Agriculture Marc Fesneau, thought-about that the elimination of the contribution to the EU was sufficient to “invalidate this budget”. As for the 125 elected representatives of the RN, they’re “very probably” heading in the direction of a vote towards, in response to a supply within the group at Agence France-Presse (AFP).

However, in an Assembly divided into three giant blocs, the results of the vote stays unsure. Already on Monday, November 4, the deputies voted on the income anticipated from the 2025 Social Security funds. Against all expectations, the textual content was adopted at first studying by 126 votes to 98, whereas the model amended by parliamentarians on the finish of the debates supplies for 17 to twenty billion euros in further contributions.

To Discover

Kangaroo of the day

Answer

If the income side is rejected, the manager will have the ability to undergo the Senate a brand new model of the textual content primarily based on that originally offered to the deputies, and even enrich it with new amendments. Note that the federal government can activate the well-known article 49.3 of the Constitution, which permits it to vote on a invoice with out the vote of the National Assembly. Michel Barnier and his ministers would thus interact their duty, by exposing themselves to a movement of censure prone to overthrow them.

On the opposite hand, if it have been adopted, the parliamentarians of the Upper House would work from the model amended by the deputies, whereas the latter would start to work on the expenditure facet of the PLF. They will solely have 9 days to check it in its entirety, because it have to be examined by November 21 on the newest.

https://www.lepoint.fr/politique/budget-2025-les-scenarios-avant-le-vote-des-deputes-sur-la-partie-recettes-12-11-2024-2575053_20.php