Survey earlier than alternative of residents: SPD in Hamburg clearly in entrance of the Greens and CDU | EUROtoday

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Status: 05.02.2025 8:07 p.m.

On March 2, 2025, the Hamburgers select a brand new citizen. If voted subsequent Sunday, the SPD and the Greens might proceed to rule within the Hanseatic metropolis, as the brand new NDR Hamburg development reveals. For the survey, the Infratest Dimap 1,164 voter in Hamburg interviewed the survey.

Almost a month earlier than the residents’ alternative, the indicators in Hamburg are on political continuity. As with the NDR Hamburg development in mid -January this yr, the SPD would come to 31 p.c. The Greens have 20 p.c in prospect, 2 share factors lower than final. Both events remained behind their efficiency within the alternative of residents 5 years in the past, however would proceed to have a mathematical majority in parliament.

Survey: AfD at 9 p.c – DIE LINKE, FDP and BSW not

The Hamburg CDU might at the moment enhance considerably with 18 p.c in comparison with its document low of 2020, however at the moment remained in third place simply behind the Greens. The CDU would improve one share level in comparison with the survey of January. According to the survey, the AfD continues to be 9 p.c. The left would enhance by 3 share factors to eight p.c in comparison with the final NDR Hamburg development. The FDP and the Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) would lose one share level every and with 3 p.c every wouldn’t make it into parliament. All different events would obtain 8 p.c collectively.

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In the 2020 Citizenship election, the SPD was 39.2 p.c strongest from the Greens with 24.2 p.c. This was adopted by the CDU (11.2), the left (9.1), the AfD (5.3) and the FDP (4.9).

Predominantly approval for the work of the Senate

According to the survey, the red-green Senate at the moment doesn’t attain the recognition of 2020, however is judged considerably greater than destructive even earlier than the upcoming alternative of residents. Unchanged in comparison with mid-January, a great half of the eligible voters (53 p.c/0) are benevolent for presidency work in Hamburg, 4 out of ten (40 p.c/-2) interviewed criticism. The supporters of the 2 Senate events SPD (89: 8 p.c) and Greens (81:12 p.c) are largely happy with the Hamburg authorities providers. The supporters of the opposition stand reverse them. In explicit, the supporters of the AfD are important (12:81 p.c), but in addition within the ranks of the CDU, the judgment is basically destructive (24:71 p.c). Positive and destructive evaluations are, for instance, the scales (46:43 p.c) amongst supporters of the left.

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Evaluation of the politicians: Mayor hottest

The encouragement for Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) and for the second mayor Katharina Fegebank (Greens) doesn’t obtain the extent of the residents’ alternative of 5 years in the past. However, the mayor particularly dominates once more when assessing politicians within the Hanseatic metropolis. According to the survey, Tschentscher points six out of ten respondents (58 p.c/+1 in comparison with mid -January). Fegebank stays considerably behind him with an encouragement of 35 p.c (-3). The group chief of the Left, Cansu Özdemir, leads the record of opposition politicians, even when they acquired much less help from the voters with 23 p.c (-5) than in mid -January. The CDU parliamentary group and state chairman Dennis Thering, which at the moment has 19 p.c (-1), can also be barely misplaced. 13 p.c (-3), the AfD state and parliamentary group chief Dirk Nockemann 7 p.c (-4) of the eligible voters, commented on the FDP prime candidate Katarina Blume. Together, the highest candidates of the opposition events are a recognized deficit that’s by far the best with the highest spouse of the FDP.

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Mayor’s desire: Tschenscher by far

The reputation of Tschenschers within the metropolis can also be mirrored in a corresponding mayor’s desire for the respondents. In the choice between him and the highest candidates of the Greens and the CDU, 44 p.c of these entitled to vote make up for the SPD politician, whereas solely 16 p.c (0) Fegebank and 15 p.c (-1) therming desire.

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Compared to the highest candidates of the Greens and the CDU, the SPD mayor is principally perceived as a leaders (53 p.c) and because the politician with higher experience (47 p.c). In the case of Fegebank and Thering, the strengths entitled to vote usually tend to establish when it comes to credibility and sympathy. But even in these fields, the incumbent does higher in comparison with his competitors.

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Most vital issues: site visitors, residing and enterprise

The political challenges for the subsequent Senate exist from the attitude of the respondents, particularly within the space of ​​transport and residing. On the open query of the 2 most vital issues in Hamburg, hardly modified in comparison with the NDR Hamburg development from November final yr 35 p.c (+1) site visitors coverage, whereas 30 p.c (+1) see state politics, particularly within the occasion of housing points. The state of affairs of the Hamburg financial system, which nearly each fourth (23 p.c/+4) (23 p.c/+4), problematized, obtained in significance. State politics repeatedly sees immigration (20 p.c/0), each seventh within the faculty and training coverage (15 p.c/+1) requested. The subject of inside safety stays central to each tenth voter (11 p.c/0).

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Location of the financial system extra important than 5 years in the past

The subject of the financial system is just in third place on the agenda of the Hamburgers surveyed, however is mentioned by far more residents than earlier than the 2020 election. This goes hand in hand with a way more important view of the Hamburg financial system. Five years in the past, a majority of 86 p.c rated their place than superb or good, now about each second (52 p.c) reaches this judgment. In distinction, 45 p.c and thus virtually 4 instances as many as earlier than the previous residents’ election are actually expressed pessimistic. Also in comparison with the survey in November 2024, there have been considerably much less constructive votes (-5).

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At the identical time, the evaluation of financial growth within the subsequent twelve months isn’t very optimistic. Six out of ten (58 p.c/-2 in comparison with November 2024) don’t count on any change inside one yr. A superb tenth (11 p.c; +2) – and thus a little bit greater than final – expects financial brightening. With 23 p.c (-2), nevertheless, twice as many worry the financial state of affairs.

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Almost each second feels much less secure than 5 years in the past

Like the situation of the financial system, inside safety is at the moment extra problematized by the Hamburgers and Hamburgers than in 2020. With a view to the previous 5 years, a great 4 out of ten respondents (43 p.c) report on one in every of all unchanged private safety in public house . About simply as many (46 p.c) sign that if you’re touring in public locations, streets or transport in Hamburg, you’ll really feel much less safe than 5 years earlier.

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According to Infratest Dimap, 1 January twenty ninth to February 3, 1,164 voters in Hamburg had been interviewed for the consultant survey- by phone and on-line interviews.

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NDR 90.3 | NDR 90.3 Current | 05.02.2025 | 6:00 a.m.

https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/regional/hamburg/ndr-ndr-hamburgtrend-spd-laut-umfrage-staerkste-kraft-vor-gruenen-und-cdu-100.html