Jerome Powell, the quiet energy that resists Trump | EUROtoday
DIn a number of hours, Donald Trump continues to be more likely to get indignant and let go of social networks. This Wednesday, May 7, Jerome Powell will advance within the early afternoon, along with his sq. glasses on his nostril, in entrance of journalists, after two days of assembly with the opposite members of the Council of Governors of the American Federal Reserve (Fed) to announce what they intend to do in issues of financial coverage. According to many of the forecasters, the results of this conciliabule might not frankly attraction to the Baroque President President: the American central financial institution shouldn’t decrease its guiding charges (that are right now between 4.25 and 4.5 %), however keep on a established order …
For weeks, the American president has continued to place strain on Jerome Powell to cut back the lease for cash. In addition to having decked out within the nickname “Monsieur Too late” (as a result of he can be late to decrease the charges, in response to the American president) and to repeat to whoever needs to listen to that he’s a “immense loser”, Donald Trump has instructed for a while that he may dismiss him, scary the monetary markets as soon as once more. “The end of Powell’s mandate [prévue en mai 2026, NDLR] will never arrive quickly enough, ”he proclaimed, before making a back machine and ensuring that he did not intend to return him.
Punching Ball
The harm of “Jay” Powell? Make your job. As president of the Fed, he has two objectives: do not let inflation slip, and guarantee full employment. For the moment, despite Trump’s gesticulations on customs prices, the American economy resists, and the latest employment figures are pretty good. Above all, the trade war is likely to make prices again flipped … This is in any case what had happened during the First Trump Trade War. THE Wait and See From Powell is therefore rather logical. “Rate reductions ought to arrive later within the yr, when the labor market begins to deteriorate,” said Gilles Moëc, chief economist of the AXA group.
Not quickly enough for the American president … If relations between the two men had already been tense during the first term of Trump, they took a much more radical turn since the return to power of the real estate magnate. The central banker has become the useful punching of the American president, who can accuse him of all the evils of the American economy which he himself will provoke. Practical ! “But Trump additionally believes that his financial coverage will carry future advantages, and that the Fed should restrict the breakage,” says Gilles Moëc. This is also part of a throbbing debate in the United States on the role of independent authorities: some, like the American president, think that they have taken up too much space. »»
Faced with Donald Trump, “Jay” Powell resists, without making a wave. “The reality is that we will make our selections and that we’ll solely take them on the premise of our greatest reflection … of our greatest evaluation of the info on the best way to obtain our two aims, in an effort to greatest serve the American individuals […]. This is the one factor we are going to by no means do. We won’t ever be influenced by political pressures […]. People can say what they need. That would not trouble us. This isn’t an issue, however we are going to do what we’ve to do with out making an allowance for political components or some other exterior consideration, “he said with Flegme during an event organized by the Economic Club of Chicago last April. In November, he also said he would not resign, even if Trump asked him.
Compromises rather than chaos
Quiet force, this septuagenarian, born in Washington and graduate in law and political science, seems to be the exact opposite of Donald Trump who only flourishes through permanent destabilization. Moderate republican (he was under-secretary of state to the treasury at the time of George Bush Father), listening, reliable, equan, sober, honest, Jay Powell is not flamboyant. But he is one of those who do their job well, and who seek compromises rather than chaos. It has a sense of public interest pegged to the body. In 2011, he convinced the Republicans to vote to raise the debt ceiling and avoid a crisis. This former wealthy business lawyer had also joined the Bipartisan Policy Center in 2010, a think tank seeking to establish bridges between Republicans and Democrats.
The irony of history is that it was Donald Trump who appointed him president of the Fed to replace Janet Yellen in 2018, because he was less hawk than many republicans … At the time, the Democrats were worried. With his Wall Street label (he notably worked for Carlyle Group, one of the biggest investment funds in the world), will he not unravel the regulations? He is not even an economist … However, Powell will show that he is a hard worker and that he can hold the bar of the powerful American federal reserve for periods of turbulence, whether it is the first mandate of Trump or the Pandemic of Cavid.
Neither hawk nor dove
“Jay Powell is a pragmatic, which has made few mistakes. It is difficult to put it in boxes: he is neither hawk nor dove, but he always seeks the appropriate response depending on the moment. During the covid, he managed the situation skillful and effectively while we were facing the unknown. Then, he knew how to pursue a more restrictive policy to deal with inflation and he gave wrong to many observers who did not think that the rates could be increased as much without rushing the American economy in the recession, “analyzes Gilles Moëc. His solely blunder? Having, like many, thought that the return of inflation after the covid was transient …
To uncover
The kangaroo of the day
Answer
“Jerome Powell is exemplary and he shows admirably how an independent central banker must act: he says the truth and he embodies stability, thus preventing the risk of financial crisis,” provides François Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the Banque de France. Independent, he has no account to return to the chief and might overcome strain from Donald Trump …
A priori, Donald Trump can not fireplace him. “Unless the Supreme Court calls into question the case law which prohibits dismissing an independent committee authority, which could happen in July: even if Trump does not use this possibility, this will worry the markets to know that the boss of the Fed can jump at any time,” warns Gilles Moëc. The story might famous that Powell was the final really unbiased central banker …
https://www.lepoint.fr/economie/jay-powell-la-force-tranquille-qui-resiste-a-trump-07-05-2025-2589070_28.php