Which would have modified within the 2020 municipal elections | EUROtoday

The Senate examines, from Tuesday, June 3, the invoice aimed toward depth reforming the Paris-Lyon-Marseille legislation, which has thus far offered a selected voting system for municipal elections within the three largest French cities.

Since the adoption of the so -called “PLM” legislation in 1982, the poll has certainly not been organized on the metropolis stage, however by electoral sectors, which correspond to a number of districts. By shifting to the poll containers, Parisian residents, Lyonnais and Marseille due to this fact elect their municipal sector councilors. Among them, one of the best elected officers (163/503 in Paris, 101/202 in Marseille and 73/221 in Lyon) sit in parallel with the municipal council of the central city corridor and elect the mayor of the town. In all different cities, conversely, residents straight elect the municipal council, which is able to select the mayor (most frequently the chief of the checklist arrived on the head).

Emmanuel Macron spoke in early 2024 in favor of realignment of the voting methodology of those three metropolises on the rule in drive in the remainder of France. Reproaching the present system for not permitting the citizens to decide on the councilor of his metropolis straight, he mentioned he wished “That a voter can have the same rights and count as much in Paris as in Amiens, in Besançon or elsewhere”. Among the defenders of the reform, an argument comes up frequently: this doubly oblique system is prone to enable a mayor to be elected with out having obtained the vast majority of votes on the dimensions of the town, by main video games.

The invoice on which the Senate will work, carried by elected officers Renaissance and supported by Matignon, plans to reform the voting system in Paris, Lyon and Marseille … with out nevertheless fullylying itself on the rule in drive in different municipalities. The three metropolises would arrange two separate ballots: one to elect the sector councilors, the opposite for the municipal council – and due to this fact the mayor. The reform proposal gives that the political group arriving on the high of the second poll advantages from a majority premium in seats of 25 % (and never 50 %, as is the case in different cities), the remaining 75 % being distributed in proportional.

A reform that might not have modified the sport in 2020

What would this reform have modified within the final elections in 2020? To estimate it, we took up the outcomes of the second spherical of the municipal poll in Paris, Lyon and Marseille, in an effort to reproduce the calculations by including them by sector, whereas remaining conscious of the restrict of this political fiction train, since voters and electricities would most likely not have behaved in the identical approach with completely different electoral guidelines.

The guidelines ensuing from the invoice beneath dialogue wouldn’t have prompted a blatant change, at most small changes. Socialist Anne Hidalgo would have been elected in Paris, in addition to the ecologist Grégory Doucet in Lyon and the ecologist Michèle Rubirola (on the head of a numerous left coalition) in Marseille.

In the Marseille metropolis, the municipal majority would have stayed at 55 seats – solely the nationwide rally would have been a winner, from 7 to 16 seats.

In Lyon, the municipal council would not have a majority of 51 seats (69 %), however 46 out of 73 seats (63 %).

In Paris, the place the Minister of Culture, Rachida Dati, hopes to prevail in 2026, the state of affairs doesn’t appear favorable to the fitting. For an electoral change of legislation to permit alternation, “Sociology [électorale] is such that they would need an addition of favorable factors: a left without leader, divided, and campaign themes unfavorable to the latter ”explained in 2024 to World Bernard Dolez, professor of political science at Paris-I Panthéon-Sorbonne University. With the reform supported by macronists, the union of the lefts of M^me Hidalgo would have even been wider (101 seats out of 163, 61 %) than with the current system (94, or 57 %).