Dems Have A ‘Huge Advantage’ In Midterms Following Texas GOP Loss, CNN’s Harry Enten Says | EUROtoday

CNN’s chief knowledge analyst Harry Enten on Wednesday predicted {that a} “huge Democratic rebound” might be on the horizon on this 12 months’s midterms after the occasion’s gorgeous win in a Texas particular election. (Watch his evaluation beneath.)

Enten highlighted polling displaying Democrats with a “huge advantage” over Republicans in New York in 2026 House races (by a margin of +27 factors), greater than doubling Vice President Kamala Harris’ margin of victory within the state (+13 factors).

Enten mentioned GOP representatives within the state like Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), who’s up for reelection in November, should be “really worried” about the potential of a blue wave.

“And oftentimes, Democratic majorities are built on states like New York, eliminating the few Republicans that actually represent it in the House,” he added.

Enten turned to California, the place Democrats are polling at +28 factors over Republicans in 2026 House races, a bounce from Harris’ margin of victory in her residence state again in 2024 (+20 factors).

“This is the type of number, if you’re Democrats, you’re giving two thumbs up for because this looks like the type of number you want if you want a Democratic majority in the House,” mentioned the CNN knowledge chief of the occasion’s edge within the polls.

On Saturday, Democrat Taylor Rehmet flipped a long-held GOP Texas state Senate seat, beating Donald Trump-backed Republican Leigh Wambsganss in a particular election run-off in a district that the president took within the 2024 election.

Sean Spicer, who served as White House press secretary in Trump’s first time period, mentioned lawmakers within the state have expressed their considerations to him over Rehmet’s victory and claimed one official informed him that the seat flip was an “8.5 on the Richter scale.”

Enten referred to Texas Republicans’ push to “squeeze out” extra seats of their favor by way of their redistricting efforts.

He pressured that Republicans within the state now maintain a slim polling benefit over Democrats (by a margin of +2 factors) main as much as the midterms, a notable drop from Trump’s margin of victory within the state again in 2024 (+14 factors).

“This looks a whole heck of a lot like what we saw in 2018 when Republicans barely won that House vote,” Enten mentioned.

Later within the section, he flagged the strengthening possibilities of a Democratic “blowout” in November, noting that Kalshi prediction market odds of the GOP taking underneath 193 House seats have jumped from 8% to 26% prior to now three months.

″[A] 26% likelihood, not simply that Democrats win again the House however that Republicans actually fall by means of the ground,” he concluded.