The lengthy evening of the American polls | EUROtoday

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The New York actual property developer with a house in Umbria predicts an ideal Republican victory. The Italian-American professor who teaches in Michigan appears hopefully on the queues to enter Harris’s newest rally. The cousin of a Roman Jewish buddy who says she’s going to vote for Trump to save lots of the historic relationship with Israel. The museum curator from Ohio who tells how nobody dares to speak about politics anymore in order to not should argue with their neighbor. Which of those tiles greatest represents the mosaic that will probably be fashioned within the Italian evening? While voting is already underway within the US, it’s not possible to know.

Faced with the vertical cut up within the nation, not even the polls assist. With the primary ones firmly nailed at 50-50, or slightly 48-48, Ann Selzer’s Iowa one has tousled the playing cards: the unbiased pollster, whose predictions in 2016 and 2020 turned out to be spot on, sees Harris forward of Trump in Iowa, a “red” state that might thus turn into “blue”. And if this occurs in Iowa, what is occurring in the remainder of the Midwest, the center of that profound America embodied by the 2 vice presidential candidates Walz and Vance, one spokesperson of silent solidarity and the opposite of shouted anger? And is it true that solely Selzer perceived the motion of voters whereas the opposite institutes underweighted the feminine variable (for one), or is it she who has made a sensational blunder?

Ultimately, is it actually an epochal selection, which will even weigh on the remainder of the world, or are we witnessing the mediatization of a physiological conflict in a democracy by which proper and left alternate commonly? We have to be extra afraid of Trump, whose autocratic outbursts may show to be harmful boutadeor of Harris, whose progressivism could possibly be applied to the hilt?

With the time of historical past – these 20-30 years obligatory to grasp selections and penalties, on the premise of paperwork and autobiographies – the whole lot will probably be clearer. On election evening, the winner will turn into clear within the minutes of the exit polls and within the hours of counting, at most within the days of appeals that everybody considers inevitable. Provided that, as many concern, we don’t have to witness road clashes, fomented by opposing factions or fueled by the Russian hybrid warfare via permeable social platforms.

The vote for the White House concentrates all of this, even when in actuality the outcomes of the House and the third of the Senate which will probably be renewed depend nearly extra. A blue president with a purple Congress (and vice versa) couldn’t go a finances, ratify a treaty, and even appoint an envoy. From New York to Seattle, from Atlanta to Phoenix, from Chicago to Fort Worth, but additionally from London to Rome, from Paris to Kiev, from Jerusalem to Berlin, the countdown has began. As with New Year’s Eve, we wait till midnight. But with rather more anxiousness than enjoyable.