the dilemma of the socialists dealing with Bayrou | EUROtoday
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CIt was 2012. At the time when the UMP and the PS nonetheless reigned as sacred monsters of French politics. At the time, François Bayrou was confined to the position of luxurious referee. And that day in May, the Béarnais had determined, a number of hours after a lunch along with his shut guard within the very stylish 7e Parisian district, a stone’s throw from the MoDem headquarters, to provide a giant increase to the left-wing staff. “There remains the vote for François Hollande, that’s the choice I make,” the centrist chief, in a grey swimsuit in entrance of an orange lectern, opened proper between the 2 rounds of the presidential election, in an infuriating speech. Nicolas Sarkozy.
Twelve years later, the state of affairs has virtually been reversed. It is François Bayrou who arrives in Matignon this December 13 and the left which finds itself in a strategic place to provide, or not, a pleasant present to Emmanuel Macron’s former Minister of Justice. However, as there isn’t a debt in politics, the latter doesn’t appear, at first look, actually decided to make his process simpler in any respect prices. “It’s not a party,” a socialist collaborator euphemized this afternoon, his head within the inner discussions.
The Insoumis are up in arms
Unsurprisingly, as quickly because the appointment of the mayor of Pau to Matignon was confirmed, after a Dantesque morning marked by contradictory rumors, a number of figures from essentially the most left wing of the New Popular Front (NFP) rushed to ship him a collection darts. “It’s a new arm of honor against democracy,” reacted Manuel Bompard, the chief of the Insoumis, whereas Paul Vannier, near Jean-Luc Mélenchon, took the chance to as soon as once more push for a attainable resignation from the President of the Republic: “Macron only cares about Bayrou. The countdown to his fall is on. »
No socialist will participate in the government but we do not censor a priori.Laurent Baumel
If they do not explicitly speak of censorship in principle, the ecologists have not been tender towards the High Commissioner for Planning either. “It’s no longer politics, it’s bad boulevard theater,” wrote Marine Tondelier. In a bitter press launch, the environmental group within the Assembly referred to as, with out actually believing in it, François Bayrou to keep in mind “the proposals resulting from the parliamentary debate”. A sound just like that of the PCF. “We will judge on the evidence but we do not expect François Bayrou to pursue left-wing policies because he is not a left-wing man,” summarizes, bitterly, Cécile Cukierman, the boss of communist senators. We stay ready which isn’t aprioristic however not optimistic both. »
The socialist in-between
In actuality, it’s particularly in the direction of the socialists that each one eyes are turned. With their 66 seats on the Palais-Bourbon – and supplied that the Republican proper doesn’t censor both – these alone can enable François Bayrou to not see, like Michel Barnier, his future linked to the nice graces of the Rally nationwide. However, in latest days, the indicators despatched weren’t of unconditional love. Far from it. On BFMTV on Wednesday, Olivier Faure was categorical: François Bayrou, embodying the “continuity” of Macronism, “could not” be Prime Minister. “Bayrou is Barnier bis,” choked up the identical day a number one PS deputy, though not recognized for refusing compromises. The socialist governing our bodies had even taken care to recall, as revealed Le Figarothat if one among them entered a “non-left” authorities, he could be excluded from the social gathering manu militari.
ALSO READ “The trouble begins”: the PS within the entice of the movement of censureThis Friday, the socialists had been in the course of the nationwide workplace once they realized of the appointment of Béarnais. And, in accordance with a number of members, everybody shortly agreed on the plan of action: no participation in authorities, but additionally no, not like the Insoumis, a priori censorship. “We do not approve of the appointment of François Bayrou, we perceive it as a form of democratic denial on the part of Emmanuel Macron,” summarizes MP Laurent Baumel at Point. No socialist will take part within the authorities, however we don’t censor a priori. François Bayrou should present us his availability for important adjustments in fact. » A form of in-between to provide ourselves a scent of duty within the interval of political uncertainty, with out melting into the crutches of macronism.
What are the situations for non-censorship?
In this acrobatic try to discover a steadiness, it’s nonetheless troublesome to know to what diploma of flexibility the socialists can be ready in the course of the negotiations. Among the situations for attainable clemency, they demand specifically that the Prime Minister resign using 49.3. But not solely that. “If he doesn’t give us anything in terms of pensions, purchasing power and he announces an immigration law, we will go to censorship,” warns a tenor. The relationship between Béarnais and Marine Le Pen’s troops will even be fastidiously scrutinized. “With Bayrou, it will be a Macronist government,” believes somebody near Olivier Faure. The query is: “Will it be a Macronist government which will have a preference for the RN or the Republican front?” »
In a press launch revealed this afternoon, the president of the Occitanie area Carole Delga, a infamous opponent of Olivier Faure, appeared a bit extra conciliatory, regretting that Emmanuel Macron “refuses to appoint a left-wing Prime Minister”, however calling on forces of the “republican front” to “work in a collective spirit”. On Sud Radio this morning, the mayor of Saint-Ouen Karim Bouamrane went even additional, criticizing the place on the exclusion of any socialist who would take part in a authorities that isn’t left-wing, even earlier than the appointment of the Prime Minister. “He has no influence in the party,” replies our shut buddy Olivier Faure. Bayrou can attempt to hook an area elected official however that isn’t what is going to give shade to the mandatory change of footing. »
ALSO READ Dominique Potier (PS): “Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s strategy does not oblige us in any way” If the PS has remained fairly united for the reason that censorship, the central bloc will undoubtedly have a watch on attainable inner fissures when the discussions on the pink strains are extra concrete or, a fortiori, within the occasion of large-scale poaching. The rose social gathering, basically eager to not seem because the gravedigger of the NFP, can be very attentive to the evolution of the positioning of the ecologists and the communists. “It’s going to be a mess for a few more days,” predicts a strategist who is aware of the left effectively.
MoDem the pink?
An indication that the brand new Prime Minister is aware of that he’s navigating in uneven waters, he remained very imprecise on his political orientations throughout his handover speech. At most, François Bayrou talked about his time in National Education, a theme expensive to the left, and referred to as for the “reconciliation” of the nation.
In latest months, the MoDem had despatched some indicators to the port aspect. Without straight opposing the textual content on pensions, François Bayrou himself estimated afterwards that “another reform was possible”. During the budgetary discussions of Macron’s second time period, left-wing deputies and MoDem even discovered themselves allies of circumstances on sure amendments on taxation. Jean-Paul Mattei, boss of the Orange group till final summer season, had even acquired the nickname “insoumattei” on the left for his need to tax superprofits.
ALSO READ “The Socialist Party is moving forward without a strategy”
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Kangaroo of the day
Answer
A former member of the MoDem group is fast to qualify: “Bayrou has a social fiber, however we should not neglect that his obsession is the debt. And Mattei is a provincial notary who campaigned for Giscardian youth! » Vice-president of the MoDem on the time of the 2012 presidential election, now a supporter of the NFP, the ecologist Jean-Luc Bennahmias provides: “Bayrou is a center-right man, search for the left within the MoDem, it is not simple! »
When saying his vote for François Hollande in 2012, the Béarnais warned: “I’m not and I cannot change into a person of the left, I’m a person of the middle and I intend to stay so. » It stays to outline centrism.
https://www.lepoint.fr/politique/ca-va-etre-le-bordel-le-dilemme-des-socialistes-face-a-bayrou-13-12-2024-2577919_20.php