The injury attributable to Hurricane Milton in Florida requires a mirrored image on the attitude and on the causes of those phenomena and the research in an effort to predict their future evolution. What issues is the temperature. And that additional “degree and a half” recorded in ocean water able to turning on and making “that perfect thermodynamic machine that is the hurricane” work.
The climatologist of Enea
The definition is by Gianmaria Sannino, Enea climatologist and skilled scholar of those phenomena.
«I went to assessment the info from the 70s, 80s and 90s – he says – and I found that in that interval fewer than 10 hurricanes shaped per decade. In current years, and I’m speaking in regards to the interval 2000, 2010, 30 class 4 or 5 ones have shaped. What emerges is that the ability of the hurricane has modified.”
The forecasts
Then another forecast data. «Since 2022 the temperature of the oceans has risen significantly, what has also happened in the Mediterranean is an alarming signal – he continues -. Over the years the oceans, which are the lungs, breathed and absorbed the excess heat produced by global warming. Where did the heat go? In the oceans which have higher heat capacity than the atmosphere and take much longer to warm up. But this fact must not be underestimated, because the effects and impacts of even a minimal increase in temperature have exponential effects.”
Ocean temperatures are rising
A state of affairs that’s something however comforting. «Starting from 2022 and for 2023 and 2024, ocean temperatures have by no means been so excessive and it’s no coincidence that there are occasions like that of Libya or two class 4 or 5 hurricanes. For the primary time, in a whole bunch of years the temperature has exceeded the restrict of 1 and a half levels, and that is the brink that we must always not have exceeded in keeping with the Paris Agreement”.
https://www.ilsole24ore.com/art/uragani-categoria-4-e-5-sempre-piu-frequenti-e-colpa-temperatura-oceani-AGpdjFU