FRançois Bayrou lastly managed to type his authorities earlier than Christmas, as he had promised to do. But the event was painful and the outcome stays removed from its ambitions of broadening the bottom on which to rely in looking for a majority in Parliament. The group introduced on Monday, December 23, after ten days of negotiations, follows a scope an identical to that fashioned by his predecessor, Michel Barnier. The similar causes could cause the identical results, the brand new prime minister just isn’t immune from censorship.
François Bayrou has lengthy asserted that he would have the ability to get Christian Democrats, Social Democrats and Progressive Liberals to work collectively. But, even when the federal government features a variety of sensitivities, the problem of transferring the strains of the tripartite political panorama ensuing from the final legislative elections has been missed.
The foremost failure lies in its incapability to rally the Socialist Party (PS), even when the latter additionally bears its share of duty. The Prime Minister’s proposal to “resume without suspending” pension reform proved inadequate to acquire from the socialists a dedication to not censor the federal government. Manuel Valls, appointed minister for abroad territories, or François Rebsamen, minister for regional planning, could have problem convincing the left-wing coloring of this authorities, these personalities having distanced themselves from the PS for a very long time.
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The place given to the correct posed fewer issues. Bruno Retailleau stays on the Ministry of the Interior, whereas his predecessor, Gérald Darmanin, is appointed to the judiciary. This resolution nonetheless dangers being interpreted as a provocation for a part of the judiciary. During his go to to Place Beauvau, he didn’t hesitate to fire up the resentment of the police within the face of a justice system described as too lax.
Unlike his predecessor, François Bayrou selected robust personalities, able to embodying authorities coverage with broader scope of motion. This will notably be the case of former Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne, in training. As for the appointment of Eric Lombard, present director of the Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations, to the economic system, it goals to reassure the monetary markets in a really difficult budgetary context.
By putting Manuel Valls excessive within the protocol order, François Bayrou is sending a sign of the significance of abroad points to the best summit of the State, a number of days after the drama skilled in Mayotte with the passage of Cyclone Chido, with out forgetting the very tense context in New Caledonia and Martinique.
The most problematic appointment is the one which didn’t happen. Xavier Bertrand claims to have been faraway from the Ministry of Justice because of opposition from the National Rally. A model denied by François Bayrou, however the episode casts doubt on the dependence of this authorities on the goodwill of Marine Le Pen’s celebration.
From then on, François Bayrou discovered himself in a scenario as uncomfortable as that of Michel Barnier, particularly for the reason that mayor of Pau left with a a lot decrease recognition score. The common coverage speech he’ll ship on January 14 will represent a key second to evaluate whether or not this authorities will have the ability to rise above the celebration sport. Between public funds which proceed to deteriorate, an economic system at a standstill and the exasperation of the French at its peak, François Bayrou is aware of that he has no room for error.
https://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2024/12/24/le-pari-manque-de-francois-bayrou_6465278_3232.html