When Elon Musk had his epiphany in January and publicly endorsed Rupert Lowe to interchange Nigel Farage as chief of Reform UK, I acquired a message inside minutes.
“That’s the end of Rupert. Nigel won’t tolerate that,” stated a former ally of Mr Farage.
Two months later, Mr Lowe, the MP for Great Yarmouth and former Southampton soccer membership chair, finds himself suspended from the social gathering. He is dealing with severe allegations of bullying in direction of feminine workers and claims that he made threats of bodily violence in opposition to the social gathering’s chair. Reform has even referred the matter to the police.
In phrases of timing, the ousting got here after 48 hours of Mr Lowe creating headlines questioning Mr Farage’s management and complaining in regards to the dysfunction in Reform UK.
It didn’t take lengthy for a variety of senior former Reform figures who’ve been pressured out in current months, together with ex-deputy chief Ben Habib and ex-London mayor candidate Howard Cox, to allege that Mr Lowe had been framed.
While investigations will now decide the reality about Mr Lowe’s behaviour, the row has blown open an issue inside Reform that has been effervescent beneath the floor for months now.

Reform dysfunction
The Independent understands that late final month, a senior nationwide marketing campaign organiser who was poached by Reform from the Tories determined to stop as a result of they may now not put up with the way in which the social gathering is being run.
They summarise that the surge to the highest of the polls by Reform UK has masked a civil struggle occurring behind the scenes, fuelled by competing egos.
And it’s noticeable that that is already being picked up within the US. Mr Musk is no longer the lone voice questioning whether or not Mr Farage is the one to ship a Trump-style right-wing election revolution within the UK. Indeed, a variety of eyes had been wandering to Mr Lowe’s posts on X and contributions in parliament with more and more hardline messages on migration and legislation and order. Beyond this, conspicuously Mr Farage didn’t get an effusive reception from Mr Trump and his inside circle for the inauguration.
Apart from Mr Farage himself, the goal for these indignant with what’s going on is the more and more controversial social gathering chair Zia Yusuf, who in some ways is being seen because the de facto chief of Reform.
Mr Lowe on Saturday morning after the allegations in opposition to him went public, pointed to communication points being on the core of the chaos.
He stated: “I’ve run businesses all my life. Some successful, some not. The one thing in common from all of the successful ones? Communication. Clear, honest communication.
“Does requesting regular meetings of MPs make me a monster? Is asking to even just see policy before it’s made public unreasonable? Is it fair to be insulted because I want people to finally talk to each other?
“I have torn out what remaining hair I have left over the last few months trying to talk. That’s it. Just talk. I have tried, and tried, and tried to resolve all of this behind closed doors. I can only smash my head against a brick wall for so long.”
The Nigel Farage drawback
Mr Farage is in some ways one of the vital profitable and charismatic politicians of the twenty first century, no less than within the UK. But his achilles heel is his repeated lack of ability to work with nicely with a crew; notably if that crew causes him to share the limelight or to deal with potential rivals.
As one determine put it: “It’s Nigel’s way or the highway.”
Mr Lowe is just not the one one to really feel unheard, unconsulted or put aside.
Some, like Mr Habib and Mr Cox, have gone public with their frustration and criticism. Both have left the social gathering.
Others have been quieter, however lots of these at the moment are engaged on serving to the Tories put collectively an anti-Reform unit with the help of Conservative Party grandee Sir Bill Cash.
Meanwhile the chaos has meant former Tory MPs who’re contemplating following their ex-colleagues Andrea Jenkyns and Marco Longhi as defectors have put their choices on maintain.
The remedy of Mr Lowe can also be now making a number of potential defectors suppose twice about becoming a member of Reform. As Tory peer Lord Hayward stated, that is the “peak time for defections”, with councillors doubtlessly trying to swap forward of the native elections.
Current Reform candidates have opened up privately as nicely, complaining they really feel remoted and undervalued with little help even in areas they could win. The lack of communication is a standard theme.
The energy of Zia Yusuf
It is noticeable that the one particular person to recurrently get prime billing on Reform occasions together with Mr Farage is Mr Yusuf. The hypothesis is that Mr Farage tolerates sharing the limelight with him as a result of Mr Yusuf is the one one to deliver severe cash to the social gathering regardless of the much-heralded arrival of property developer Nick Candy.
Press notices for his or her mini conferences state that folks will hear from “Nigel Farage, Zia Yusuf and many more”. No point out of MPs.
It was noticeable at a current press convention that Mr Yusuf, who’s a peripheral political determine at greatest, was the one one to take a seat on the platform with Mr Farage. A relegated deputy chief Richard Tice needed to sit within the viewers and was allowed up briefly to reply a query on coverage earlier than being despatched again down once more.
Mr Yusuf’s energy is already troubling some within the social gathering, and there are even questions over whether or not he’s positioning himself to interchange Mr Farage. Interestingly, his Wikipedia entry notes: “Nigel Farage has suggested that Yusuf might one day lead Reform UK.”
He runs the operation “with an iron rod” however other than an announcement on the social gathering’s change of structure, there appears to be no severe management community throughout the nation.
One senior member has instructed The Independent they’re satisfied Mr Yusuf is definitely plotting a management coup “in plain sight”.
Dire communications
To say that Reform’s response to criticism is thin-skinned can be considerably of an understatement.
When The Independent just lately revealed the obvious hypocrisy of Mr Tice attacking Rachel Reeves for exaggerating her CV when he had overblown a few of his achievements, the social gathering’s response was extraordinary.
There have been threats of authorized motion, banning The Independent from occasions, and “this is a story really not worth The Independent completely ruining its relationship with a party leading in the polls”.
The story ran and, as Kemi Badenoch found when Reform made threats to sue her over membership figures, the threats have been fully empty.
But it underlined a sure diploma of hubris for a celebration which has simply 5 MPs and has solely been on the prime of the polls for a couple of weeks with no severe proof that it’s about to grab energy.
More of an issue is that its “professionalised” press workplace appears utterly unable to reply primary questions or reply to emails.
So questions like, “Who will chair the party board?” merely go unanswered.
Mr Yusuf sacked the well-known and extremely revered Westminster operator Gawain Towler whereas Mr Farage was overseas, and issues appear to have gone from dangerous to worse ever since.
Victory in Wales
More regarding is that the press workplace and management are unable to say who’s main the social gathering in Wales.
This is a matter as a result of the Welsh parliament elections subsequent yr are supposed to be a springboard for the social gathering to win energy in 2029. Polls counsel they’re within the prime two and will even doubtlessly maintain energy, however no person appears to know what’s going on in Wales.
There is a suggestion former Ukip defector Mark Reckless could also be a degree of contact – he first got here to public consideration as a Tory MP in 2010 who fell asleep on the terrace in parliament and missed a vital Budget vote.
Future prospects
The actual situation is whether or not a political social gathering as dysfunctional as Reform UK can proceed to surge within the polls.
The polling for The Independent by Techne UK seems to counsel that it has reached a plateau at about 25 per cent. This could possibly be due to the bounds of Mr Farage’s attraction or as a result of individuals are not but satisfied it’s a severe social gathering of presidency – Mr Lowe himself described it as “a party of protest”.
Veteran pollster Lord Robert Hayward instructed The Independent the help for Reform relies on Mr Farage as a “credible political figure” but additionally “a general despair with ‘old’ politics”.
He famous: “The Tories are deemed to be incompetent, which is why they left them, and the old Labour base plus ex-Tories now take the same view of Labour!”
In council by-elections, Reform has picked up two seats in England from Labour and two from the Tories. The social gathering seems to be selecting up Labour and Tory voters equally but additionally individuals who stayed at residence within the basic election.
Lord Hayward, a Tory peer and former MP, questions whether or not the present trajectory is sustainable primarily based purely on “dislike of Labour and the Conservatives”.
But he added: “The business with Lowe will hurt them a little, but it will only cause significant damage if it damages Farage himself.”
The huge query then is whether or not Mr Lowe will attempt to take Mr Farage down with him if Reform presses forward with its allegations.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/rupert-lowe-reform-nigel-farage-dysfunction-b2711458.html