Ekrem Imamoglu, Mayor of Istanbul and essentially the most promising challenger of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was arrested on Wednesday evening, along with over 100 of his workers. The largest opposition occasion within the nation, the Social Democratic CHP, now feels what the professional -Kurdish opposition needed to get used to: a regime that disregarded democratic guidelines; A banana republic that is aware of no separation of powers and is taken into account the fitting, which inserts the ruler within the stuff.
Erdogan might know higher – from earlier makes an attempt to chase away imamoglu with unfair means, but additionally from his personal expertise. When the then 40-year-old Erdogan was elected Mayor for the Islamist welfare occasion for the Islamist welfare occasion, luck was that he had solely obtained 1 / 4 of the votes, however benefited from the fragmentation of the occasion panorama. Four years and a “gentle” navy intervention later, Erdogan was relieved of the workplace and sentenced to 10 months in jail.
Even if he solely needed to serve underneath comfy detention situations for 4 months, the Ancien Régime triggered what it had tried to forestall: Erdogan’s rise to energy. Erdogan didn’t give in and removed the ideological ballast – or at the least confirmed this look. After that, nothing might cease him, not even the political ban that also existed when his AKP received the parliamentary election in November 2002. Five months later, Erdogan was Prime Minister.
However, Erdogan died from this sacrificial story (“I was arrested because I had recited a poem”), even when he had torn all energy and practiced revenge on the outdated elites.
But energy results in overestimation. Erdogan made the same mistake in spring 2019: In Istanbul, his lengthy -time confidant Binali Yildirim simply misplaced a sensible and younger however unknown district mayor named Ekrem Imamoglu.
But the administration of the nation’s largest metropolis was too essential for the political economic system of AKP rule, in order that Erdogan had the election canceled. A boomerang: Different from the 13,000 votes with which Imamoglu received the primary time was a distance of over 800,000 votes. And Erdogan had not solely suffered a delicate defeat, however had constructed up a possible competitor. The Turks, Kluge heads say about their compatriots, hold it very opportunistic with energy. But additionally they have a romantic streak: the very best -known folks depend is a couple of noble robber of Köroglu, in a number of folks songs and the traditional Turkish cinema there are numerous variations of the motif of resistance to tyranny.
Ekrem imamoglu additionally didn’t bow. Iconically grew to become a video of the second he discovered concerning the cancellation of the election: he was simply in a speech, interrupted it, pulled out the jacket and rolled up his sleeves. This combative now now proper, which imamoglu added his pleasant look, introduced him into workplace, which he was capable of defend within the 2024 native elections.
On the evening of his arrest, when lots of of law enforcement officials have been in entrance of his house, he took up a mobile phone video that ought to have the same impact: “We are in the face of a great tyranny. But I will not bend it,” he says, whereas he’s pending the tie. With a delicate voice, with out anger – and emphasizing that his criticism doesn’t apply to the police at his door, however those that despatched you off.
Procedure for insulting civil servants
Many in and outdoors of the CHP wish to have seen Imamoglu as Erdogan’s challengers in 2023. But the then occasion chief Kemal Kilicdaroglu not solely succumbed to his personal ambition, but additionally had a fairly sounding argument in opposition to his nomination: In a grotesque process, Imamoglu had been sentenced to 2 and a half years in jail and a ban on political exercise. The threat of the judiciary managed by Erdogan on the finish of the nomination interval would have confirmed the judgment in opposition to Imamoglu.
Nevertheless, it could have been higher to let it rely. Instead, the CHP confirmed a sample that is likely one of the secrets and techniques, as Erdogan might hold in energy for therefore lengthy: right here his daring, which isn’t so breathtaking, is afraid – there the anxiousness of an opposition that dares nothing and good points nothing.
So Erdogan was capable of sustain once more. After the defeat within the 2024 native elections, he tried to embrace the brand new CHP occasion chief Özgür Özel and to sow within the opposition within the opposition. This maneuver failed, on Sunday the Chp Imamoglu needed to decide on the presidential candidate.
It can also be questionable whether or not the deal that Erdogan tries to enter into with the Kurds might be: Security ensures for the autonomous area in northern Syria in opposition to the approval of the pro-Kurddic Deme-party to alter the structure that will enable Erdogan a 3rd time period. Starting with the persistently catastrophic financial scenario, Turks and Kurds have sufficient causes to present Erdogan the deserved receipt. And this receipt can be referred to as Imamoglu.
In a fast succession, new legal proceedings have not too long ago been opened: resulting from allegations of corruption or for supporting a terrorist group – as credible as the decision “Hold the thief!” From the mouth of a burglar. A form of projection efficiency can also be the matter with the college diploma: just a few hours earlier than Imamoglus arrest, the University of Istanbul acknowledged his enterprise diploma as a result of it modified the topic in an opposite to his research. According to the structure, solely college graduates may be accredited as presidential candidates. However, Erdogan was by no means credible to doubt whether or not he himself fulfills this requirement.
But what methods he might use and whether or not Imamoglu is launched or in custody: the strongness with which the regime combats him might use it in the long run. So heroes are born.
However, Erdogan’s rise shouldn’t be a blueprint. Because that the elites on the time couldn’t cease him was additionally resulting from overseas – and the spirit of the time. It blows otherwise in the present day. However, if the president of the oldest democracy on the earth locations the chainsaw on the rule of legislation, and if a presidential election is canceled in a Member State of the European Union as a result of an – admittedly disagreeable – candidate has received, if a constitutional change is carried out by a velocated parliament in Germany, so in such a world that exhibits increasingly more trains of a banana republic Erdogan get via with this quantity.
https://www.welt.de/debatte/kommentare/article255738540/Verhaftung-von-Imamoglu-Wie-Erdogan-seinen-maechtigsten-Gegner-ausschalten-will.html