IThe summer time found in December 2024. The asteroid YR4 fearful the astronomers who adopted him very intently. According to them, it was not excluded that he may collide with the land by 2032. And the dangers have been estimated at round 2.3 %.
Since then, NASA and the worldwide planetary protection neighborhood have continued to watch the asteroid, which has been dismissed as a major danger of affect for the earth. The danger of collision has moved on the facet of the moon.
3.8 % danger of touching the moon
So far, the dimensions of the asteroid YR4 had been evaluated between 40 and 90 meters. An estimate which was barely revised downwards: between 53 and 67 meters. “About the height of a 10 -storey building,” says NASA.
“Experts from the Center for the Study of Objects close to the Earth of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory of NASA have updated the probability that (the asteroid) 2024 YR4 struck the moon on December 22, 2032, going from 1.7 % at the end of February to 3.8 %, based on the data from the James Web space telescope and observations of terrestrial telescopes”, broadcasts the American area company.
New observations in May
To uncover
The kangaroo of the day
Answer
So there are 96.2 % just like the asteroid lacking the moon. According to NASA specialists, even when the asteroid strikes the moon, that will not alter its orbit.
After mid-April, the asteroid 2024 YR4 can be too distant and too low to be noticed by floor telescopes, however webb will observe it once more in late April or early May to proceed monitoring its trajectory.
https://www.lepoint.fr/societe/l-asteroide-2024-yr4-menace-davantage-la-lune-que-la-terre-06-04-2025-2586657_23.php