Andrew Neil predicted that seats may “collapse Reform’s way, big time” on the subsequent election after a ballot gave Nigel Farage’s occasion a serious lead. The Find Out Now survey put the rebel occasion on 32%, 11 factors away from Labour which is second on 21%.
The Tories are third with 16%, whereas the Lib Dems are fourth on 14% and the Greens take 11% within the ballot of two,501 folks carried out on May 21. Veteran broadcaster Mr Neil mentioned Britain could also be “on the cusp of a major upheaval” forward of the subsequent common election due in 2029.
Mr Neil wrote on X: “When Reform gets to 30% or a bit above and the other votes are split between four parties, all with pretty low shares, the parliamentary seats start to collapse Reform’s way, big time.
“And polling appears to be settling all the way down to roughly these vote shares, although Reform may rise a bit extra whereas Labour and Tories decline a bit extra.
“If this is the new direction of British politics we are on the cusp of a major upheaval.”
It comes as Reform has taken the lead in a sequence of nationwide opinion polls in latest months.
The rebel occasion has been driving excessive within the polls following its success within the native elections.
Mr Farage insisted “something extraordinary is happening” as he gave a press convention in London at this time.
The Reform chief introduced his occasion would restore winter gas funds for pensioners in full and scrap the two-child profit cap as he strikes to outflank Labour with its conventional working class supporters.
Speaking in response to a query which requested whether or not Reform may go from a handful of MPs to a parliamentary majority, he mentioned: “History would suggest the answer to your question is no. Circumstances would suggest the answer is yes.
“Something extraordinary is going on; the collapse of confidence in two political events which might be just about merged.”
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/2060765/andrew-neil-reform-nigel-farage