Archie MitchellBusiness reporter
Household vitality payments are anticipated to fall barely within the new 12 months, based on consultancy Cornwall Insight.
The forecaster, broadly revered for the accuracy of its predictions, expects houses utilizing a typical quantity of fuel and electrical energy can pay £1,733 from January.
That can be a lower of £22 per 12 months, or 1%, from the present £1,755 value cap for a typical family’s annual vitality invoice.
But Dr Craig Lowrey, principal guide at Cornwall Insight, warned the lower is “only part of the picture”, with payments set to climb once more in April.
“This time, it’s not higher wholesale prices driving the rise,” he mentioned.
“The government pledged to lower bills on the promise that investment in renewables would reduce our reliance on global energy markets and stabilise bills.
“But what we’re seeing now could be a shift, wholesale costs are now not the primary story. The actual strain is coming from rising non-energy prices, with levies and coverage choices related to that funding in renewables driving up payments.”
Regulator Ofgem will announce the latest price cap – the maximum amount suppliers can charge customers for average energy usage – at the end of November.
The energy price cap covers around 22 million households in England, Wales and Scotland and is set every three months by Ofgem.
It is based on the cost of each unit of energy, not the total bill – so those who use more energy, pay more.
Ofgem’s value cap hit a document excessive in January 2023 of £4,279 as vitality costs spiralled in response to the easing of Covid restrictions and Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The authorities’s vitality value assure shielded shoppers from the hovering price, changing the value cap and limiting common annual payments at £2,500 for a typical family.
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