So a lot for ‘peak Farage’. We have been advised final yr the ‘Badenoch bounce’ had the Conservatives again on monitor, but polls carried out on New Year’s Eve and early Jan present help for Reform climbing once more! Fresh after a seat projection ballot by More in Common predicting Reform would have a hefty parliamentary majority of 381 MPs, Find Out Now and YouGov now reveal Reform’s help rising as soon as extra.
Find Out Now carried out its newest ballot on the final day of 2025. Compared to their earlier ballot – taken one week earlier – Reform noticed its lead rise by 2 factors from 12 to 14. Reform, in response to Find Out Now, is now on 31% versus 30%, with Labour rising by 1 level (14 to fifteen%) and the Tories down 1 (18 to 17%). The Greens maintain regular and draw stage with the Conservatives.
YouGov’s ballot – carried out Jan 4-5 – reveals Reform opening its lead from 5 again to 7. YouGov’s earlier ballot, taken simply earlier than Christmas, had Reform on 25%. That rises to 26%. YouGov discovered the Tories held regular on 19% however Labour dropped 3 factors to 17%.
The consistency between the 2 polls signifies that, if there was a Badenoch bounce, it was certainly short-lived. Whatever soiled methods have been employed towards Farage in late 2025, the mud thrown is not sticking.
Who’d have thought voters bear in mind how dangerous the border-destroying, high-taxing, crime-appeasing, Brexit-botching Tories really have been? Stands again in amazement!
2026 will now be make or break for Reform. Not simply the all-important native elections however the necessity to widen its workforce and insurance policies, maintain its core help galvanised, and peel away extra of what stays of Tory voters.
Only then can Farage be assured Reform is healthier insulated from the chance of tactic voting depriving him of a path to Number 10. Whatever else nevertheless, Reform begins the yr with a bang. Peak Farage? Not doubtless.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/2154509/nigel-farage-tories-voters