Ordinance or 49.3? Sébastien Lecornu “will choose based on the discussions this weekend, and particularly those with the Senate” | EUROtoday

Close to acquiring a non-censorship settlement with the socialists on the state finances, the pinnacle of presidency, Sébastien Lecornu, should now select the constitutional software to activate to place it in place, between article 49.3, which he had promised to keep away from, and the budgetary order, an unprecedented and dangerous process.

The Prime Minister “will choose based on the discussions this weekend, and particularly those with the Senate, particularly on local authorities”his entourage knowledgeable Agence France-Presse (AFP) on Sunday January 18.

An government supply was contemplating holding a council of ministers on Monday afternoon. This assembly may enable the federal government to deliberate on a attainable use of 49.3, earlier than the theoretical resumption of budgetary debates within the National Assembly on Tuesday.

After three months of discussions in Parliament and debates interrupted on Thursday night within the Lower House attributable to lack of settlement, the pinnacle of presidency is in any case getting ready to regain management.

A selection “in the hands of the government”

The Constitution presents him two choices. The first has turn into traditional to permit the adoption of earlier budgets: that is article 49.3, which permits the federal government to have a textual content adopted with no vote by incurring its duty. The second is new: it’s the budgetary order (article 47), which permits the implementation of the preliminary budgetary undertaking with out going earlier than Parliament. In each circumstances, the Prime Minister ought to expose himself to a movement of censure. If the Prime Minister opted for 49.3, censorship would additionally take away the finances. The ordinance would make it attainable to supply France with a finances even when the federal government have been to fall.

Questioned on Sunday on the topic on RTL, M6 and Public Senate, the President of the National Assembly, Yaël Braun-Pivet (Renaissance), refused to present her desire between these two weapons, that are “in the hands of the government”. “When you do politics, you have to keep the commitments you make”nonetheless, she slipped, admitting that she ” sharing[ait] » the failure of the Prime Minister’s method, who had promised not to use 49.3.

“The prescription is little known since it has never been used. The 49.3 has a negative image »summarized in The Voice of the North the minister responsible for relations with Parliament, Laurent Panifous. “Whether it is one or the other, in any case, they will be based on the same compromise text”he added.

This analysis differs from the most widespread interpretation, according to which only the initial text could be transcribed into a budget order. This makes this option risky for the Prime Minister, because it would sweep away all the negotiations of recent months.

“It’s time to move on”

At the same time, Sébastien Lecornu should quickly detail the content of the final budget measures to parliamentarians, according to the Minister of Public Accounts, Amélie de Montchalin. Because although he has already made some announcements on Friday, the vagueness still persists on many hot spots. In particular, he will have to say more about how he intends to finance the concessions made to the socialists while remaining under a public deficit of no more than 5% of GDP, a difficult objective to achieve. This will notably involve maintaining a surcharge on the profits of large companies, the yield of which has not yet been fixed.

The first secretary of the Socialist Party (PS), Olivier Faure, announced on Saturday that he would propose to his deputies “not to censor” the government if the Prime Minister evacuated the ” obscure “and provided that “the financing of all these victories obtained is not done on the backs of the French”. “They will be done on the backs of the French”on the contrary castigated Manuel Bompard, coordinator of LFI, on BFM-TV on Sunday, regretting that there was no “nothing about the heritage of the ultra-rich” and promising the tabling of a motion of censure whatever the option chosen.

For his part, François Hollande clearly pleaded for 49.3: “If he did not make the compromise, if he went towards the ordinance, he would be taking a risk”estimated on Radio J the former president, now a deputy (PS).

On the right, Xavier Bertrand (LR) described this budget as “failed”but, after months of negotiations and getting stuck, “it’s time to move on and get it adopted”. On the social network X, the former prime minister, Michel Barnier (LR), criticized the government’s attitude: “The time of ultimatums and socialist blackmail has lasted long enough. Fiscal responsibility requires answers, not postures. »