“Markus Lanz”: “Trump believes anything is possible” – knowledgeable explains how a US invasion of Greenland would work | EUROtoday

The safety knowledgeable Peter Neumann described within the ZDF program “Markus Lanz” how, in his opinion, doable army motion by the USA towards Greenland may happen. The professor at King’s College London would not suppose a direct invasion is probably going. “I don’t think Trump will order in a week, now the invasion is starting,” Neumann stated.

Instead, he expects a gradual escalation. “This will also happen gradually,” defined Neumann. Specifically, he talked about army demonstrations of pressure: “There will be military maneuvers over Greenland.” Provocative actions from the air are additionally doable: “American jets flying very low over the capital of Greenland.”

Read all of the information concerning the Greenland disaster in our dwell ticker.

Neumann additionally sees the hazard of army blackmail. The USA may embody different conflicts within the dispute. “By saying if you don’t give us Greenland, then we will withdraw our support to Ukraine,” he stated.

Neumann labeled these steps as focused provocations and drew a comparability to East Asia: “Provocations, like you see in Taiwan. Just like you see in Taiwan and China.” Such actions would pose difficult-to-solve questions for Europe.

In this context, Neumann expressly referred to Ukraine’s dependence on American support. “A lot of weapons come from America, but they are paid for by Europe,” he stated. If Washington had been to withdraw, it might have critical penalties: “If America withdraws completely, then things will look really bad for Ukraine.”

At the identical time, Neumann named “four things” that Europe should think about when coping with Donald Trump. “Those in Europe who have a good connection with Donald Trump should use it,” he stated, “not to flatter him,” however “to make it clear to him that this cannot continue.” He cited Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni as a profitable instance of methods to cope with Trump.

Neumann had beforehand described Trump’s present angle as unusually uninhibited. “There is a political explanation. There is a personal explanation,” he stated. Politically, it’s concerning the USA’s declare to “military dominance over the Western Hemisphere”. On a private word, Donald Trump “has been totally uninhibited since this success in Venezuela, since this relatively easy success, and feels a kind of hubris and believes that anything is possible.”

Neumann due to this fact additionally names a second instrument in coping with Trump: “the American public, the American Congress,” as a result of “also and especially Republican senators” are “absolutely dismayed by what is currently happening.” However, these have efficient leverage as a result of within the USA “the president cannot do anything that costs money without the consent of Congress”. So Congress may cease the entire thing.

The third level Neumann talked about was the necessity for clear countermeasures. “Of course we have to set a red line,” he stated, and likewise economically: “Of course it is important that we respond to these tariffs with similar measures.” At the identical time, he warned towards reacting incorrectly: “If we respond to tariffs on goods with other tariffs on goods, then I think, I suspect, we Europeans will suffer more than the Americans do.”

However, the fourth level is essential: “We must absolutely prevent it from escalating into a military conflict,” stated Neumann. “The moment the Americans say that we are going to start militarily, then Europe has actually lost,” stated Neumann. Europe has little room for maneuver in such eventualities. “What do we do? Do we then shoot down American planes? I don’t think many in Europe are ready for that.”