The SPD leaves behind its report low in North Rhine-Westphalia, whereas the federal government events lose barely. The AfD is overtaking the Greens, the Left is weakening. The difficulty of migration stays vital, however a second downside is catching up.
If a brand new state parliament have been elected in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, the black-green state authorities may keep its majority, however each authorities events would report losses. The opposition events would achieve floor. This is the results of the NRW development that the survey institute Infratest dimap surveyed on behalf of the WDR journal “Westpol” from January twenty sixth to twenty ninth, 2026.
Prime Minister Hendrik Wüst’s CDU would get 35 % (-4 in comparison with June 2025), the Greens would get 13 % (-2). After its report low within the NRW development in June 2025, the SPD can recuperate considerably. It elevated by 4 share factors and reached the 20 % mark for the primary time since June 2023.
The AfD additionally improved barely, overtaking the Greens and equaling its earlier greatest from June 2023 with 15 % (+1). The Left recorded slight losses (-1), however would make it into the state parliament with 6 %. The FDP wouldn’t be capable to obtain this with 4 % regardless of slight positive factors (+1). All different events collectively would get 7 %.
The survey outcomes for the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia at a look
- CDU: 35 % (-4)
- SPD: 20 % (+4)
- AfD: 15 % (+1)
- Greens: 13 % (-2)
- Left: 6 % (-1)
- FDP: 4 % (+1)
Satisfaction with the work of the state authorities stays balanced. 48 % of these surveyed stay glad, 49 % are dissatisfied (+4 since June 2025). Prime Minister Wüst’s work is rated considerably extra negatively than within the final survey in April 2024: 45 % of these surveyed are glad (-2), 38 % (+2) dissatisfied.
Voters in North Rhine-Westphalia have no idea the SPD’s high candidates
A great 12 months earlier than the state elections in 2027, the SPD get together management has now agreed on Jochen Ott as the highest candidate. Most individuals in North Rhine-Westphalia haven’t but heard of the SPD parliamentary group chief. Only one in 4 eligible voters (24 %) is assured of constructing a judgment about themselves. 12 % say Ott is an efficient candidate for the Social Democrats, and simply as many have expressed doubts. Among the SPD supporters, the constructive evaluation clearly predominates (26:5 %), though a majority of them have up to now had little concept of what to do with the title of the SPD politician.
The difficulty of migration has misplaced its distinctive place as an important downside from the attitude of these surveyed. 26 % of these surveyed nonetheless title immigration as one of the pressing issues to be solved.
However, that’s three share factors lower than the final survey in April 2024. Those surveyed rated the issues with infrastructure, public transport and site visitors as considerably extra vital than nearly two years in the past. This subject space is now additionally talked about by 26 % of individuals, a major improve (+6) since April 2024.
The difficulty of training is available in second place with 21 % (-4). The subjects of social injustice (+4) and economics (+3) come subsequent with 12 % every. Internal safety comes subsequent with 10 % (-3), adopted by atmosphere and local weather safety (7 %, -5).
Part-time restrictions apply in North Rhine-Westphalia
The CDU enterprise wing has initiated a debate concerning the guidelines for part-time work. In the longer term, part-time work ought to solely be granted for “special reasons”, i.e. when elevating youngsters, caring for kin or for additional coaching.
The overwhelming majority of respondents reject such a restriction on the correct to work part-time. 70 % of these surveyed assume the suggestion is unsuitable, 24 % assume it’s proper. The majority of CDU supporters in North Rhine-Westphalia are additionally in opposition to it (56 to 39).
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