Prices gave a truce in the beginning of the yr. And that reduction was even better than initially anticipated. The National Statistics Institute revised inflation downwards this Friday, which lastly moderated in January to 2.3%, one tenth decrease than anticipated, and 6 tenths decrease than that of December in interannual phrases. That marks its largest drop in 10 months, since March. which locations it at ranges not seen since June, when it was positioned proper at that very same degree.
The respite is essentially on account of vitality: electrical energy costs rose lower than in January 2025 (they elevated by 3.7%, in comparison with the 20.5% improve a yr in the past), and fuels turned cheaper (-5.9% for diesel and -7.4% for gasoline), decreasing the price of filling the tank.
The merchandise of meals and non-alcoholic drinks, alternatively, is displaying nice resistance to moderation. In January it remained unchanged, at a nonetheless excessive 3%, thus repeating its highest degree since July 2024, which places strain on the procuring basket. Products similar to eggs proceed to register meteoric worth will increase, of 30.7% of their case. Coffee (13.1%), greens (12.6%) and chocolate (9.5%) additionally suffered will increase nicely above the common. Beyond groceries, the rise in second-hand vehicles (5.5%), motels (8.1%), practice tickets (19.1%), or jewellery and wristwatches (24.7%) stands out, in a context of rising gold and silver costs within the markets.
Despite particular circumstances like these and others, the overall information brings Spain nearer to the ECB’s 2% goal, a threshold that it has not touched since May of final yr, though the gap from the common of the companions remains to be vital: inflation within the euro zone was 1.7% in January, on account of the truth that in international locations like France (0.3%) and Italy (1%) costs have collapsed.
The Ministry of Economy has positively valued the moderation that Spain is experiencing. “It allows families to continue gaining purchasing power. In 2025 as a whole, the aggregate purchasing capacity of households increased by 1.5%, thanks to the fact that wage increases were higher than the average inflation for the year,” he recollects.
Core inflation, which excludes vitality and contemporary meals as they’re essentially the most unstable gadgets, remained unchanged at 2.6% for the third consecutive month, dangerous information for the long-term outlook. Although the month-to-month price did present clear indicators of enchancment, with a drop of 4 tenths in comparison with December.
Climatic elements have partially influenced the great efficiency of inflation. The worth of electrical energy within the wholesale market has been under 50 euros per MWh for 22 days, due to the rain and wind storm, which inspires wind and hydraulic era. This Friday the megawatt hour was paid at solely 4.42 euros, in comparison with 5.70 euros on Thursday.
The January statistics have overcome obstacles such because the better expense derived from the blackout. According to an evaluation by the consulting agency Nera, the so-called strengthened operation that Red Eléctrica (REE) has been making use of after the huge energy outage suffered by the Peninsula on April 28, was settled between that date and January 31, and has had a value of as much as 1.1 billion euros, which shoppers have paid of their electrical energy payments.
The coming months threaten to be much less favorable for inflation. Although in February the bottom impact will nonetheless a priori permit costs to not rebound strongly, and even stay steady, beginning in March the comparability will probably be made with months of 2025 through which they have been considerably lowered. This might result in new will increase in inflation in Spain, and delay the normalization that the Executive seeks in order that firms don’t lose competitiveness in opposition to their European rivals.
https://elpais.com/economia/2026-02-13/el-ine-revisa-una-decima-a-la-baja-la-inflacion-de-enero-y-la-situa-en-el-23.html