The progress of public and company debt that it reached in 2025 doesn’t cease 109 trillion {dollars} globally from 100 trillion in 2024. However, regardless of geopolitical tensions and the commerce struggle, debt markets have confirmed resilient with average volatility and plentiful liquidity. «This superficial stability, nonetheless, masks deeper structural developments that would materialize abruptly, rising the dangers if the present macro-trends proceed», explains Carmine Di Noia, director for monetary and enterprise affairs of the OECD, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development in presenting the most recent Global Debt Report.
Short maturities and refinancing danger
While financing prices proceed to extend, particularly on longer maturities, because of the structural decline in demand and considerations about fiscal trajectories, “governments and companies are responding by directing their issuance towards shorter maturities, which, while mitigating the impact of the increase in interest expenditure, also exposes them to greater refinancing risk” added Di Noia.
For OECD nations solely, the debt soDollar in circulation now stands at a document $61 trillion, up from $55 trillion in 2024, equal to a GDP ratio in OECD nations of 83%, however is anticipated to rise to 85% in 2026, 39 proportion factors greater than in 2007, earlier than the worldwide monetary disaster. Much of the rise in lending is meant to refinance present debt. In 2025, sovereign refinancing wants within the OECD reached a document excessive of round $13.5 trillion, equal to nearly 80% of gross issuance.
Italy has the second largest debt after Japan however the trajectory is bettering
Among the G7 nations, the worldwide group specifies, «the debt/GDP ratio remained unchanged in comparison with 2020 in Canada, the United States and the United Kingdom. In France and Germany – continues the OECD – it was 5 and a pair of proportion factors greater respectively. Italy has the second highest debt/GDP ratio within the OECD space, however in 2025 the worth was 11 factors decrease than the pandemic peak” but what is important “is to have a reputable fiscal trajectory… and I believe the Italian financial system is doing properly”, commented Di Noia
Net demand still above pre-Covid levels
At roughly $3.5 trillion, web wants remained steady in 2025, however stay considerably above pre-pandemic ranges, and are anticipated to develop in 2026, reaching the very best stage since 2020.
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