Longtime Republican pollster Frank Luntz is warning the GOP that Texas has the “exact ingredient” for a possible Democratic upset in November’s election for a U.S. Senate seat.
“The assumption has been for the last 20, 25 years, that Texas is solidly Republican,” he instructed NewsNation’s Leland Vittert. “But the demographics have been changing.”
He mentioned the state is changing into much less white and Democrats are getting higher organized. In addition, Democrats this yr are seeing “incredibly high” turnout in particular elections and primaries across the nation.
In Texas, greater than 2.2 million individuals voted on this week’s Democratic main ― a midterm document for the state ― as state Rep. James Talarico defeated U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett.
“If you’re a Democrat, you can’t wait to vote,” Luntz mentioned. “Every Democrat is looking to participate.
Some Republican voters, on the other hand, are staying home.
And in Texas, there’s another issue: a vicious primary that’s about to get even uglier as the contest between state Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn is heading to a runoff.
President Donald Trump is reportedly getting ready to endorse Cornyn, with the expectation that Paxton would then drop out.
But Paxton has indicated he will not.
Julio Cortez/AP; Jack Myervia/AP
“The Republicans still have a clear advantage,” Luntz mentioned. “But that advantage has been shrinking and shrinking. And when you have two candidates destroying each other, like these two are, this is the exact ingredient that you could have low Republican turnout in November, a split party, you could conceivably see a Democrat surprising people.”
Luntz additionally warned Republicans that management over the Senate may hinge on a single difficulty ― and it’s one which’s not serving to the GOP in the mean time: affordability.
“That’s it,” he mentioned. “That’s the key decider.”
See extra of that dialog beneath.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/frank-luntz-texas-blue_n_69aa95d1e4b0bda876a8a459