Six weeks of U.S. and Israeli bombardment have served to degrade Iran’s nuclear amenities and cripple components of its army.
But the Islamic Republic’s offensive capabilities have been constructed up over practically 50 years, throughout which Iran has been both at battle or below the specter of battle.
As an knowledgeable in army historical past and idea, I imagine that to know what might come subsequent in Operation Epic Fury, it’s beneficial to know the event of Iran’s fashionable army construction, capabilities and worldwide actions.
Iranian army expertise
Prior to the institution of the Islamic Republic of Iran in 1979, Iran’s army was largely equipped by Western powers, significantly the United States.
It entered the Iran-Iraq battle in 1980 with a considerable quantity of then-modern gear. That included practically 80 F-14 fighter plane, over 200 F-4 and F-5 plane and hundreds of tanks.
But Iran’s army was exhausted when the battle led to 1988. And the federal government had by then grow to be a world pariah, making resupply all however inconceivable.
Although Iran imported some army gear from the Soviet Union and China in 1990, its financial system couldn’t assist substantial army spending.
Ironically, the arms embargoes that Iran confronted throughout and after its battle with Iraq made the regime self-reliant on its weapons stockpiles. And that triggered the event of a considerable home arms trade.
Most fashionable Iranian army gear consists of reverse-engineered American and Soviet gear, a lot of it out of date. Since 1990, nonetheless, Iranian missile expertise has considerably improved. That’s because of home manufacturing and importing experience from different marginalized states, reminiscent of North Korea.
Starting within the Nineties, Iran additionally innovated a sequence of one-way assault drones, a comparatively cheap option to assault distant targets.
The fashionable Iranian army
The Iranian army is cut up into the common army, or “Artesh,” and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The Artesh performs a home protection function akin to a militia, whereas the Revolutionary Guard serves because the extra skilled army drive.
The Revolutionary Guard tasks regional energy. During the 2003 U.S.-Iraq battle, for example, it supplied improvised explosive units to insurgents concentrating on American forces.
The Revolutionary Guard tends to obtain the majority of Iranian army sources, together with the very best personnel and gear. Quds Force, the unconventional warfare wing of the Revolutionary Guard, has lengthy performed a job in exporting the revolutionary beliefs of the Iranian rulers. The Quds Force supplies arms and steerage to proxies all through the Middle East, primarily by fomenting insurrections towards Arab Sunni governments.
Iran has lengthy been the patron of Hezbollah, based mostly in Lebanon, whose major purpose is the eradication of Israel. More not too long ago, Iran has additionally engaged in substantial assist of Hamas in Gaza, even if Hamas is a Sunni group, whereas the rulers of Iran are members of the Shiite department of Islam.
Iran has always sought technique of exerting army affect past its borders, with out risking exterior assault. It has embraced the usage of cyber warfare, a technique of assault with a comparatively low value for participation and a doubtlessly outsized affect on the world stage.
Iranian hackers have attacked Western army and authorities networks, together with a hack of FBI Director Kash Patel’s private emails. Iranian-backed hackers have additionally launched assaults on infrastructure and cultural establishments, together with U.S. wastewater therapy vegetation and electrical grids.
Iran’s pursuit of atomic weaponry
Iran’s authorities has relentlessly pursued nuclear weapons since at the very least the Nineteen Eighties.
The Iranian authorities has all the time maintained that its nuclear program is to supply energy for the growing nation, moderately than weaponry. But definitive proof of uranium enrichment far past the necessities of energy era have prompted Western states to demand an finish to the Iranian nuclear program.
In 2010, cybersecurity researcher Sergey Ulasen found an extremely advanced malware program, dubbed Stuxnet, that was created to undermine the Iranian nuclear program by disrupting the operate of enrichment centrifuges. No nation has ever taken duty for the assault, which set again Iranian uranium enrichment efforts by years.
In 2015, after negotiations with the 5 everlasting members of the U.N. Security Council and Germany, Iran agreed to halt its uranium enrichment program in trade for reduction from financial sanctions and the discharge of frozen Iranian property. The negotiations resulted within the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA.
Although the Trump administration withdrew the U.S. from the JCPOA in 2018, the settlement continued to operate, and Iran appeared poised to reenter the worldwide financial system.
However, in 2020 the Iranians restarted their nuclear program. They additionally ramped up manufacturing of ballistic missiles and one-way assault drones.
In June 2025, the United States and Israel launched an enormous aerial assault on Iranian nuclear amenities, an effort that Trump characterised as having destroyed Iran’s nuclear amenities.
Iran responded by launching a wave of ballistic missiles and drones towards Israel, most of which had been intercepted earlier than getting into Israeli airspace.
About the writer
Paul J. Springer is a Professor of Comparative Military Studies at Air University.
This article is republished from The Conversation below a Creative Commons license. Read the unique article.
The missile and interceptor battle
Prior to Operation Epic Fury, analysts estimated that Iran possessed 3,000 ballistic missiles and tens of hundreds of one-way assault drones. They additionally concluded that Iran had a considerable manufacturing capability to extend its stockpiles.
In the primary six weeks of the present battle, Iran expended at the very least 650 missiles in assaults on Israel and a whole lot extra towards different targets within the area.
The U.S. has positioned a heavy emphasis on attacking missile manufacturing and storage amenities. But it’s tough to determine what number of missiles and drones the Iranian army may nonetheless possess.
Iranian manufacturing and transportation has nearly definitely sustained substantial losses in capability. And U.S. and Israeli plane prowl the skies over Iran in search of indicators of cellular launchers or makes an attempt to move missiles to firing places.
The price of Iranian missile hearth has considerably declined because the first days of the battle, nevertheless it has by no means dropped to zero. That has led some analysts to suspect that Iran maintains a major cache of long-range weaponry in reserve, whereas U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth argues that it has misplaced the capability to launch main barrages.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/iran-war-us-israel-military-weapons-b2958625.html