Even if visitors within the Strait of Hormuz instantly returned to pre-war ranges, the results of the battle would linger for a number of months.
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, defined that because of the struggle, world development forecasts have been revised downwards, from +3.4% to +3.1%. This financial slowdown might be accompanied by a normal improve in inflation, with cascading results on residents’ buying energy and consumption.
In Italy, the information launched by Istat is beginning to present some indicators of this phenomenon. In March 2026, the patron value index recorded a +1.7% on an annual foundation, pushed by the rise in power costs (which went from -6.6% to -2.1%) and the acceleration of unprocessed meals (+4.7%).
https://lab24.ilsole24ore.com/guerra-iran-impatto-energia-gas-economia/