Final spurt: US Republican major – race for second place | EUROtoday

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Final spurt
US Republican major – race for second place

How safe is Trump as the Republican presidential candidate?  In the race for second place, the former US ambassador b

How protected is Trump because the Republican presidential candidate? In the race for second place, the previous US ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, has caught up. photograph

© Carolyn Kaster/AP

Icy winter climate is just not unusual in Iowa this time of yr. But the climate outlook for the US Republican major is excessive, even for the Midwestern state.

In the US election marketing campaign for the Republicans’ first vote on their presidential candidate, the ultimate spurt has begun within the state of Iowa amid arctic temperatures and icy winds. Polls see former US President Donald Trump nicely forward. What can be significantly thrilling is the query of how nicely Trump truly does within the night elections (native time) – and who will safe second place. The former US ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, has caught up and will overtake Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.

A winter storm affected the election marketing campaign over the weekend. The climate service warned of “life-threatening” chilly temperatures of as much as minus 28 levels. That may have an effect on voter turnout.

Iowa marks the start of an election yr within the USA

In the USA, it isn’t the celebration management however the base that chooses its candidate for the presidential election. The major election voting course of is advanced and varies from state to state. The Republicans are actually beginning issues off in Iowa. The small state within the Midwest is numerically of little significance for the choice of candidates. But those that do nicely right here can rely on a tailwind in future votes. The choice is just not made at polling stations, however at small celebration conferences, so-called caucuses. They happen within the evenings – in very totally different locations similar to church buildings or neighborhood halls.

Haley and DeSantis are preventing for second place

According to a survey by the regional newspaper “Des Moines Register” and different media, Trump is at 48 p.c – nicely forward of his rivals; one other survey noticed Trump at 55 p.c. Haley, who is taken into account considerably extra reasonable, is available in second with 20 p.c. That is 4 proportion factors greater than in December. DeSantis slipped to 3rd place with 16 p.c. He was as soon as thought-about Trump’s greatest competitor within the race for the presidential nomination. But in current months he has misplaced help and remained conspicuously pale in TV duels. He had significantly targeted on Iowa throughout the marketing campaign – if he solely got here in third place there, it could be a disastrous begin to the election yr for him.

At the weekend he was combative and tried to downplay the poor ballot numbers. “I’ve learned that it’s good to be an outsider. (…) I prefer it when people lower their expectations of us. That way I can work better,” he mentioned on US tv. When requested about his competitor Trump, the 45-year-old replied: “The first time he didn’t keep the most important promises.”

It’s not nearly profitable

For Trump, nonetheless, in Iowa it’s about assembly the excessive expectations positioned on him. It can’t be assumed that his victory can be contested within the vote there. The former president is going through 4 felony expenses – together with due to his makes an attempt to overturn the outcomes of the 2020 presidential election. But that hasn’t modified the Republican’s reputation in his celebration to this point. At that point, Trump misplaced to Democrat Joe Biden. To this present day he nonetheless would not acknowledge his defeat and spreads the lie about election fraud.

But within the USA individuals are actually trying intently at how nicely he’ll truly do in Iowa ultimately. The excessive winter climate may thwart his plans. It is feasible that his supporters assume that their favourite will win comfortably anyway – and due to this fact merely keep at dwelling. That would profit Haley and DeSantis. On the opposite hand, Trump supporters are thought-about significantly loyal.

Extreme chilly has a agency grip on Iowa

Trump initially canceled his marketing campaign appointments due to the winter storm – however then appeared once more. Haley and DeSantis additionally adjusted their schedules, however continued to journey in Iowa regardless of the chilly and slippery roads. The climate prompted full chaos, particularly on Friday. Almost each flight to the capital Des Moines was canceled. Numerous journalists who needed to journey to the state for the primaries had been additionally stranded on the airport. Today could possibly be the coldest major in Iowa historical past.

Haley urged her followers to courageous the climate and vote: “Iowa, you have a job to do tomorrow. Bring your ID, dress in layers and let’s go!” The 51-year-old former governor of the US state of South Carolina started her election marketing campaign final February – and was polling within the low single digits on the time. She fought her means ahead previously few months and scored significantly nicely within the Republicans’ TV duels, which Trump, nonetheless, stayed away from. However, Haley is afraid to publicly surrender Trump. Observers due to this fact assume that she may ultimately develop into Trump’s candidate for vp.

For the Democrats, the first election process is somewhat totally different this yr. The race can also be thought-about a foregone conclusion. Incumbent Biden needs to maneuver into the White House once more for his celebration after the presidential election on November fifth. The 81-year-old has no critical competitors in his celebration.