Joe Biden needs to keep away from a regional conflagration | EUROtoday

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HAShen the Middle East finds itself, in accordance with UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, “on the edge of the precipice”, Joe Biden faces a dilemma: on the one hand, the American president guarantees “unwavering” assist for Israel, however on the opposite, it needs to do every part to keep away from a struggle with Iran, after Tehran's unprecedented assault towards the Hebrew state.

“The president has been clear: we do not want escalation. We do not want an extended war with Iran,” White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby stated on American tv on Sunday.

READ ALSO EXCLUSIVE. “Iran’s attack on Israel has upended the military equation in the Middle East”The United States additionally doesn’t intend to take part in attainable Israeli reprisals, assures a senior American official talking to journalists on situation of anonymity. And, in accordance with him, Israel “is not seeking a significant escalation with Iran” although this assault was supposed to “destroy and kill”.

“Weigh the risks carefully”

President Biden “clearly told the (Israeli) Prime Minister that we must carefully and strategically weigh the risks of escalation” as a way to keep away from a broader regional struggle, in accordance with the senior US official.

Washington's calculation seems to be that Tehran bought what it wished with a present of power in retaliation for the strike attributed to Israel, which killed senior Iranian officers. And, for the Americans, Israel spectacularly demonstrated its defensive energy, with 99% of Iranian projectiles intercepted.

Iran, for its half, appears to have wished to keep away from an escalation, underlined Nick Heras, analyst on the American analysis group New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy. This assault “was intended to be seen around the world, but not to degenerate the situation into an all-out regional war,” he informed AFP.

During an urgently convened Security Council on Sunday night on the UN, Israeli Ambassador Gilad Erdan known as for “imposing all possible sanctions against Iran before it is too late”. He insisted, “Israel reserves the right to retaliate.” As of Sunday night, the precise nature of this response remained unsure, within the absence of a communiqué after a gathering of the struggle cupboard.

The American election within the crosshairs

For Joe Biden, the equation between the pursuits of Israel, these of the United States and his personal is advanced, seven months earlier than a revenge towards Donald Trump, who accuses him of being “weak” on the Iran. “If Joe Biden encourages the Israelis not to retaliate, then it would be a shame for the United States,” hawk John Bolton, former adviser to Donald Trump, denounced on CNN, calling quite the opposite Israel to “destroy the Iranian nuclear program “.

READ ALSO American presidential election: can the struggle in Gaza convey down Joe Biden?At the identical time, the Democratic president is shedding floor amongst minorities, significantly Muslims, whereas the battle in Gaza drags on. And with a barrel of oil rising in direction of $100, a widening of the battle may trigger the worth on the pump to soar. And to make his re-election much more difficult.