a poll open till the final minute | EUROtoday

Lhe electoral marketing campaign for the European elections is ending, however all the things stays open for the vote on June 9. Because issues are nonetheless transferring, and so much, in accordance with our Ipsos electoral survey for The worldcarried out from Thursday June 6 to Friday June 7 with a consultant pattern of 8,923 folks, in accordance with the quota technique.

In these final days of the marketing campaign, Jordan Bardella confirms his first place, far forward with 32% of voting intentions (margin of error of 1.3 factors), though falling by one share level in comparison with our earlier investigation on the finish of May. Valérie Hayer continues her erosion by dropping a share level, she stands at 15% of voting intentions (margin of error: 1). It is now 0.5 factors aside from the listing of Raphaël Glucksmann, candidate of the Socialist Party and Public Place (PS-PP), steady at 14.5% (margin of error: 1). “We have by no means seen such a slim hole between these two candidatesremarks Brice Teinturier, Deputy Managing Director of Ipsos, it’s much more true than earlier than, sure, the curves can cross… or not. »

Behind this trio, the listing of La France insoumise (LFI) led by Manon Aubry continues the development began final month and accelerates it considerably on this last straight: it good points 1.5 factors in comparison with the tip of May, and now data 9.5% voting intentions (margin of error: 0.8). Next comes the Les Républicains (LR) listing led by François-Xavier Bellamy, steady at 7% (margin of error: 0.7), then two lists in peril of falling beneath the 5% of votes required to ship votes. MPs in Brussels. The Reconquest listing led by Marion Maréchal thus stands at 5.5% voting intentions, that of the Ecologists (Ex-EELV), led by Marie Toussaint, at 5% (margin of error: 0.6). Léon Deffontaines, who leads the listing of the French Communist Party (PCF), is estimated at 2.5% of voting intentions (margin of error: 0.4), i.e. on the similar degree because the candidate of the Animalist Party, Hélène Thouy, who progressed by one level in every week.

Hesitant voters can nonetheless change the order of arrival and the composition of the French delegation to the European Parliament. Taking them under consideration, Marion Maréchal (Reconquête) finds herself in a decisive vary of between 4.5 and 6.5%, and the ecologist Marie Toussaint between 4 and 6%. The Green MEP's potential voters stay probably the most hesitant about their alternative, 40% of them say that their vote can nonetheless change and their second alternative turns first to Raphaël Glucksmann and Manon Aubry. Compared to the tip of May, Marie Toussaint continues to say no (it drops by one share level), and the proximity of the 5% threshold doesn’t set off a renewed mobilization for the inexperienced bulletin, in any case no seen revival at this stage in our investigation.

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